The Rose Bowl presented by Prudential between the Penn State Nittany Lions and Utah Utes is Monday, Jan. 2, at 5:00pm ET on ESPN. Betting information below is provided by BetMGM** and is current as of Dec. 30. Click on the links provided to see the most up-to-date lines and odds.
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The Rose Bowl will feature an explosive Utah offense against a stout Penn State defense in Pasadena. Utah is coming off a statement win over then-fourth-ranked USC in the Pac-12 Championship game, when the Utes came back from an early 17-3 deficit to trounce the Trojans 47-24, ending USC’s playoff hopes.
Penn State didn’t play in the Big Ten Championship game, having finished third in the strong Big Ten East division led by No. 2 Michigan and No. 4 Ohio State. Penn State’s only losses this season came at the hands of those two teams, which both made the College Football Playoff. Penn State’s last game was a Week 13 win at home over Michigan State.
Utah’s success has come largely thanks to a dynamic high-scoring offense: the Utes are eighth in the nation in scoring offense, averaging 40 points per game, and 17th in total offense with an average of 472.7 yards per game.
The Utes’ most impressive showing was that Pac-12 Championship game, where they earned a big upset over USC and Heisman winner Caleb Williams. In that game, Utah junior quarterback Cam Rising threw for 310 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions, and freshman running back Ja’Quinden Jackson added 105 yards and two TDs on the ground.
“We played with a chip on our shoulder,” Utah head coach Kyle Whittingham said Thursday. “It seemed like the media overlooked us a bit [ahead of the Pas-12 Championship game] and we used that as motivation.”
Whittingham said Utah is not making any big changes for this game and that with Penn State “committed to the run game,” that area is a focus for his defense.
Indeed, the run game has been the brightest spot for Penn State’s offense this season, led by freshman running back Nick Singleton. Singleton is in the country’s top 15 rushers in yards per carry, averaging 6.32 yards every time he takes a handoff.
Penn State senior quarterback Sean Clifford gave high praise to Singleton and his fellow backs on Thursday, as well as the Nittany Lions’ tight end core led by junior Brenton Strange. “It’s hard for defensive coordinators to keep up sometimes,” Clifford said. Both Clifford and Strange are headed to the NFL Draft in the spring.
But it’s the defense that has shone brightest for the Nittany Lions this season. Penn State is tied with Alabama for the ninth-best scoring defense in the nation, allowing an average 18 points per game. PSU is also 15th in total defense (317.8 yards allowed per game) and sixth in red zone defense.
Penn State’s rush defense will be tested by the Utes, who are 10th in the country with an average of 220.2 rush yards per game. Utah’s offense can be versatile outside the rush, though, thanks to Rising’s playmaking at QB. Rising – who grew up less than a hundred miles from Pasadena in Ventura, CA – boasts a 66.2% completion rate this season, better than Heisman winner Caleb Williams and Heisman finalist Max Duggan of TCU.
Rising says the Utes want redemption after losing the 2022 Rose Bowl, in which Ohio State scored 17 points in the fourth quarter to beat Utah 48-45. “We’re looking to finish that unfinished business,” Rising said Thursday. “We came up short last year.”
Penn State head coach James Franklin knows the Utes are a hungry and tough opponent. “I wouldn’t say there’s an obvious weakness with this team,” Franklin told media on Thursday. “It’ll be a real challenge.”
Prediction: Utah’s three losses this season have come at the hands of teams with competent defenses, and Penn State’s defense might be the best they’ve faced. Penn State’s fight against Ohio State is promising for the Nittany Lions to be able to contain Utah’s offense just enough to win this one. Look for Penn State to cover with the Over in play.
Penn State vs Utah matchup history
Penn State and Utah have never faced each other. This is Penn State’s fourth appearance in the Rose Bowl; the Nittany Lions are 1-2 in their three previous appearances, most recently losing to USC in 2017. Utah has played in the Rose Bowl only once before – last season – and lost to Ohio State to start 2022.
History of the Rose Bowl
The Rose Bowl is the oldest active college football Bowl Game, dating back to 1902. The game has been played annually since 1916 at the Rose Bowl stadium in Pasadena, California, and is played on New Year’s Day except in years when January 1 falls on a Sunday. That’s why the game is on January 2 this year.
The Rose Bowl traditionally features the Pac-12 champion and the Big Ten champion. The 2022 season’s edition features Pac-12 champion Utah (10-3) and Penn State (10-2), who didn’t win the Big Ten title but was the top Big Ten team available after Michigan and Ohio State made the four-team College Football Playoff.
Changes Coming to the Rose Bowl in 2024 and 2025
The Rose Bowl is one of the six major bowl games (known as the “New Year’s Six” for their traditional timing) that will be part of the newly-expanded College Football Playoff in 2024 and 2025. Starting in the 2024 season, the playoff will include 12 teams instead of just four, following a bracket format.
The quarterfinals and semifinals of that bracket format will be played in the bowls that have been rotating as hosts of the semifinals in the current format: Rose, Sugar, Orange, Peach, Cotton and Fiesta.
To read more about the coming changes to the Rose Bowl and CFP, click here.
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How to watch the 2023 All-American Bowl: TV channel, live stream info, start time, rosters, and more
The 2023 All-American Bowl takes place this Saturday, January 7 inside the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas as 100 of the nation’s top senior football players will go head-to-head in this highly anticipated all-star game.
Live coverage begins at 1:00 PM ET on NBC and Peacock. See below for additional information on how to watch the 2023 All-American Bowl.
The All-American Bowl made its debut in December 2000 at Highlander Stadium in Dallas, Texas and since then has become one of the most-watched high school sporting events in America. Notable alumni that have participated in the event include NFL Wide Receiver Odell Beckham Jr. (2011), Dallas Cowboys Running Back Ezekiel Elliot (2013), Jacksonville Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence (2018), former Broncos QB Tim Tebow (2006), former Cleveland Browns OT Joe Thomas.
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On December 31, Michigan will take on TCU in Phoenix while Ohio State will face reigning national champion Georgia in Atlanta in the College Football Playoff semifinals. The winners will play each other for the national title on January 9 in Los Angeles.
This marks the first season since the CFP’s inception that two Big Ten teams have earned a spot in the same year. It’s Michigan’s second appearance (2021) and Ohio State’s fifth (2014, ’16, ’19, ’20). Ohio State is the only Big Ten team with a CFP national title, which the Buckeyes won the first time the playoff was held after the 2014 season. This is TCU’s first appearance in the playoff and Georgia’s third (2017, ’21).
Below are previews and predictions for both semifinal games. Betting information is provided by BetMGM** and is current as of Dec. 31 at 9:55 a.m. ET. Click on the links provided for each game to see the most up-to-date lines and odds.
The team at NBC Sports EDGE has you covered for the entirety of bowl season, including the CFP semifinals and more, providing their favorite plays on everything from sides and totals to player props. Click here for insights, picks and reactions to all 42 bowl games across this holiday season, and see below for Saturday’s YouTube Q&A from the EDGE team answering all your betting questions.
Michigan (13-0) and TCU (12-1) will face off for the first time in college football history in the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl. Michigan is making its second straight appearance in the CFP, and second straight as the No. 2 seed. Last season, Michigan took on Georgia in the semifinals and looked totally out of place as the Bulldogs won 34-11 in a dominant performance en route to their national title a couple weeks later.
This year’s Michigan team may have an easier road in the semifinals, taking on first-time playoff team TCU, whose 12-1 run this season under new head coach Sonny Dykes has been remarkable. TCU will look to be the first Big 12 team to make the national championship game in the playoff’s nine-year history. (Oklahoma is the only other Big 12 school to make the CFP; the Sooners lost in the semifinals all four times they appeared.)
We last saw Michigan and TCU in their conference championship games. Michigan was in a tight game through the first half against Purdue for the Big Ten title, but pulled away from the Boilermakers in the second half to win 43-22. TCU, meanwhile, suffered its first loss of the season in the Big 12 Championship, falling in overtime to Kansas State.
The latest data has TCU slightly worse than Kansas State, and there are understandable questions about TCU’s ability to keep up with Michigan. Dykes doesn’t have those questions. Immediately after the CFP selection announcement on December 4, he told ESPN, “We have a ton of confidence that we can compete.”
Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh feels that way too. “I couldn’t be more impressed with them,” he said of the Horned Frogs on December 4. He’s had particular praise for TCU senior quarterback Max Duggan, one of the four Heisman finalists this season. Speaking to ESPN, Harbaugh said Duggan was “unbelievable” in the championship game against Kansas State. “Guy’s a stud.”
Duggan has led TCU to the sixth-best scoring offense in the nation this season, averaging 40.3 points per game. He’s earned a reputation as a fierce competitor, often seeming to will his team to victory during the undefeated regular season.
“We gotta make sure we play our game,” Duggan said earlier this month of TCU’s approach to the Fiesta Bowl. “Don’t make it bigger than we need to, don’t make the lights brighter than they need to be, just be ourselves and be confident.”
He’s had help this season in the form of junior running back Kendre Miller, whose 17 rush TDs make him the seventh-highest rushing scorer in the country.
But the Horned Frogs haven’t faced a team like Michigan yet, certainly not one with this kind of defensive strength: the Wolverines are third in the nation in total defense (277.1 yards/game), third in the nation in rush defense (85.2 yards/game), and fifth in the nation in scoring defense (13.38 points/game). In games when the Michigan offense has struggled (see Illinois in Week 12), the defense has kept the team in the game.
Michigan’s offense has changed shape a bit in recent weeks, after star running back Blake Corum suffered a knee injury against Illinois and underwent season-ending surgery. Even without Week 13 and the Big Ten Championship to bolster his resume, Corum sits ninth in the nation in rush yards (1,463) and fourth in rush TDs (18).
In Corum’s absence, the Wolverines have leaned on sophomore Donovan Edwards in the run game and given a little more work to sophomore quarterback J.J. McCarthy in the pass game. Edwards has proven a worthy replacement, rushing for two long TDs against Ohio State and earning another 185 yards and a touchdown against Purdue. McCarthy has similarly stepped up, throwing for three TDs in each of the last two games, with four of those in excess of 25 yards. Before Week 13, McCarthy only had one three-TD game this season, in early October at Indiana.
McCarthy’s performance has turned heads as he’s gotten more comfortable running the Michigan offense. “I haven’t seen him get nervous,” Harbaugh said in early December. “Have never seen this kid rattled.”
The defensive side of the ball might be the brighter spot for the Wolverines, but the offense holds its own: At 40.1 points per game, Michigan sits seventh in the nation in scoring offense (recall that TCU is sixth with 40.3 points/game). Michigan’s discipline has made an impact, too, as the team averages 33 minutes of possession and just over four penalties per game.
Asked if this year’s playoff is about redemption, Harbaugh answered with a definitive no. “It’s been nothing but a happy mission…not an angry mission.”
Michigan vs. TCU Matchup History
While TCU and Michigan have never faced each other, there is some data about their success against the other’s conference. TCU has a long history of games against Big Ten teams, dating back to 1937. Since 2000, TCU is 7-2 against Big Ten teams, most recently beating Purdue in September 2019.
Michigan has faced Big 12 teams just six times, losing the last three of those in Bowl games in the 2013, 2005, and 2004 seasons. Its last win over a Big 12 team came in 1997 over Baylor.
Prediction: Michigan has been a second-half team all season, so it would be unsurprising for this game to be close at the beginning or even for TCU to take a lead. But if they come prepared, the Wolverines’ talent should ultimately overpower the Horned Frogs in Phoenix. Michigan should cover, and the Over is likely in play if the Wolverines can break things open offensively.
Georgia (13-0) and Ohio State (11-1) promises to be an excellent matchup between two teams with comparable stats but differing styles on the field. Georgia is the reigning national champion in its third playoff appearance (2017, ’21), while Ohio State makes its fifth playoff appearance (2014, ’16, ’19, ’20). The Buckeyes won their only national title the first time the playoff was held after the 2014 season.
Ohio State is the only team in the 2022 playoff that didn’t play in its conference championship game; the team got in after USC lost the Pac-12 title game to Utah earlier this month. Georgia is coming off a 50-30 win over LSU in the SEC Championship game to complete its undefeated season.
The Buckeyes missed the Big Ten title game after losing to Michigan Week 13. Ohio State had been favored to win at home, but Michigan kept things close throughout the first half, and the floodgates opened in the second as the Wolverines overwhelmed the Buckeyes on both sides of the ball to win 45-23. After USC lost the Pac-12 championship game, Ohio State waited for the selection committee’s decision as the Buckeyes, Trojans and perennial playoff team Alabama were all in the conversation. Ultimately the conventional playoff wisdom that two losses is too many won out, and the Buckeyes were in.
“It’s like a second lease on life,” Ohio State coach Ryan Day told ESPN on selection day. “We’re back in control of our own destiny.”
Both Georgia and Ohio State have 2022 Heisman finalists at the helm, with Stetson Bennett leading the Bulldogs and C.J. Stroud in the pocket for Ohio State.
Stroud is the most efficient passer in the nation in 2022 and also tops the national list for most pass touchdowns with 37. That strength in the passing game has made Ohio State the second-highest scoring offense in the country with an average 44.5 points per game.
In this semifinal, though, each team has an answer for the other’s strengths: opposite OSU’s offense, Georgia ranks second in scoring defense, allowing just 12.77 points per game on average.
Defense is UGA coach Kirby Smart’s calling card, and the performance by the 2022 Bulldogs is all the more impressive considering eight defensive players went to the NFL after the 2021 season (five of them in the first round). That loss of talent brought up questions about Georgia’s ability to deliver at the same level this year, but they’ve come pretty close. (For reference, after all 15 games last season, the Georgia defense finished at 10.8 points allowed per game.)
Smart was unhappy with his defensive side after the SEC Championship game, when LSU scored 30, the most points the Dawgs allowed all season. “We can’t play the kind of defense we played last night and expect to be any kind of champions,” he told ESPN on December 4. “We’ve got some work to do.”
Two keys to the game for Ohio State will be third-down conversions and red zone production. The Georgia defense is third in the nation on third down, allowing conversion just 26.7% of the time, and first in the nation in the red zone, allowing just nine touchdowns on 28 red zone trips by opponents.
The answer to that one: Ohio State is the third-most productive offense in the red zone this season with 44 touchdowns on 55 trips.
When UGA faced Tennessee (a team with an offensive scheme comparable to OSU’s) in November, the Dawgs held the Vols to just two third-down conversions on 14 attempts. They also prevented Tennessee from relying on the deep balls that were central to their offense, holding QB Hendon Hooker to 5.9 yards per completion.
Ohio State has a similar reliance on deep balls in the pass game; Stroud sits fifth in FBS in yards per completion at 14.21, with his top target Marvin Harrison Jr. tied for fourth in receiving TDs with 12 this season. The Buckeyes should have success in Atlanta if they can beat the UGA secondary; if anyone has the receiving core to do it, they do.
Stroud has noted the formidable nature of the Georgia defense. What do they do well? “Everything,” Stroud said, adding that it all starts with junior defensive lineman Jalen Carter. “I think they call him Superman,” Stroud said in an ESPN interview published Tuesday. “He plays like it.”
While the Georgia defense has earned consistent national praise, the team’s offense has quietly had a great season too. Bennett is an exceptionally efficient passer in big games in particular; in games against AP top 25 teams this season, his passer rating is 185.2, the best in FBS. Georgia has the most productive red zone offense in the country, only failing to earn points twice on 71 trips.
Ohio State’s total offense is sixth-best and Georgia’s is seventh; the team’s average totals are less than a yard apart. Georgia’s total defense is eighth in the country and Ohio State’s is 12th, about 12 yards apart. Both teams protect their quarterbacks: UGA has allowed just seven sacks this season (T-second in FBS) and OSU has allowed eight (fifth). Both teams won all but one game this season by 10 or more points (OSU lost to Michigan, UGA beat Missouri by four).
All that to say: this should be a really good game. Georgia gets a bit of an advantage with the Peach Bowl near home in Atlanta, in a stadium where the Dawgs have already played twice this season. Ohio State could reap the benefits of extra rest and preparation in the absence of a conference championship game.
“We’ve got a two-game season ahead of us,” Ryan Day said. Well, maybe.
Georgia vs. Ohio State Matchup History
Surprisingly, Georgia and Ohio State have faced each other only once: the 1993 Citrus Bowl in January 1993, almost exactly 30 years ago. Georgia won 21-14, led by running back Garrison Hearst, over an Ohio State side quarterbacked by one Kirk Herbstreit. Herbstreit will call this one for ESPN.
Prediction: Georgia’s game plan is probably similar to its plan against Tennessee, which worked well. Ohio State’s talent on offense should be able to score, but at a slower clip than usual against the Dawgs’ defense. In the end, it feels smarter to bet on the best defense over the best offense, and the game location could help create extra noise for the Georgia defense. It’s close, but the Dawgs take this one by a touchdown with the Under in play.
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