Justify the Clear Betting Favorite on Odds to Win the Preakness Stakes

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The falling price on Justify in the Preakness Stakes might leave bettors to get creative to find wagers offering plus money this weekend

Two weeks removed from his Kentucky Derby victory, Justify is the -225 favorite on the odds  to win the Preakness Stakes at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The 1-3/16-mile thoroughbred race takes place on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore.

Preakness Stakes: What Time, Where to Watch and More

Good Magic (+325) is the nominal second favorite in the eight-horse field, followed by Quip (+1400), Bravazo (+1800), Diamond King (+2000), Lone Sailor (+2000), Tenfold (+3300) and Sporting Chance (+4000). Based on the weather in Baltimore this week, it appears the field will get a wet track not unlike the one that Justify triumphed on at Churchill Downs.

Justify’s trainer, Bob Baffert, is 4-for-4 with Kentucky Derby winners that he has brought to the Preakness, the second jewel in horse racing’s Triple Crown. The racetrack history is less auspicious for the chestnut colt. In the last 32 runnings of the race, the betting favorite has won 13 times (40.6 percent) and placed second nine times (28.1 per cent).

Good Magic finished second by 2½ lengths at the Kentucky Derby, but had to run hard early and late in the sloppy conditions. While Good Magic has drawn the No. 5 post position, which was the starting gate for two of the last 10 Preakness winners, it’s plausible that that tough race two weeks ago could affect him on Saturday.

Diamond King, who runs out of the No. 4 spot, might have the strongest outside shot at ending Justify’s Triple Crown chances. Diamond King won the Federic Tesio local prep race in March and arrived at the Preakness well-rested.

The only other gate with multiple winners in the last decade is No. 6, which will be occupied by Tenfold, whose sire, Curlin, won the Preakness in 2007. Tenfold could be worth taking as a sleeper across-the-board pick (win, place or show) or playing along with Justify.

Bravazo is starting from the No. 8 gate, but he had to run on the outside at the Kentucky Derby and finished a respectable sixth. At the very least, he is worth including in a play with Justify.

For more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes or listen to it at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

 

Best Solution, Northern Ireland jockey win Caulfield Cup

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MELBOURNE, Australia — Godolphin stable’s Best Solution won the Caulfield Cup in a photo finish ahead of American-bred Homesman, with The Cliffsofmoher finishing third on Saturday in the 2,400-meter race.

Ridden by Pat Cosgrave of Northern Ireland, Best Solution recovered from a bad start to follow Taj Mahal at 600 meters to go and hold on for the Group One win.

Cosgrave was later suspended by race stewards for 11 meetings for a careless riding charge.

The jockey decided to take his suspension immediately, which means he will miss the Cox Plate, another major lead-up race to the Melbourne Cup, Australia’s richest and most prestigious race on Nov. 6 at Flemington.

Cosgrave plans to ride in Dubai on Nov. 3 before returning to Melbourne to again partner Best Solution in the Melbourne Cup.

Cosgrave pleaded guilty to the charge that he allowed Best Solution to shift in near the 1,800-meter mark of the Caulfield Cup, tightening Japanese runner Sole Impact.

Japanese rider Ryusei Sakai was also suspended for causing interference at the same point of the Caulfield Cup when he too shifted ground when not clear. He was suspended for 11 meetings and is able to ride again on Oct. 31.

The victory gave trainer Saeed bin Suroor and Godolphin their second Caulfield Cup after All The Good won in 2008.

Pre-race favorite Kings Will Dream had a bad start to drop a couple of lengths and never recovered, finishing sixth after being caught in traffic.

Ex-jockey Valenzuela pleads guilty to domestic violence

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VISTA, Calif. (AP) Famed former jockey Patrick Valenzuela has pleaded guilty to misdemeanor domestic violence for slapping his girlfriend at a Southern California restaurant.

The San Diego Union-Tribune reports that the seven-time Breeders Cup winner entered the plea earlier this week, was fined nearly $900 and ordered to take domestic violence recovery classes.

Prosecutors say Valenzuela slapped his girlfriend last month for hugging a bartender at a Carlsbad restaurant.

Valenzuela told the Union-Tribune by phone Friday that he is “very saddened” by the situation and added: “I will continue to strive to be the best person I can be.”

Valenzuela had more than 4,300 winning races, including the 1989 Kentucky Derby and Preakness. He’s struggled with drug and alcohol abuse and lost his California racing license. He last raced in 2016.