Super Bowl LI odds: Luke Bryan, Lady Gaga spark prop bets for Sunday

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The game may be the thing for the die-hard football fans, but the beauty of Super Bowl wagering is the 50/50 propositions on events related to the football game.

For starters, country star Luke Bryan will perform The Star-Spangled Banner prior to the NFL championship game at NRG Stadium in Houston on Sunday. The over/under on the duration of the national anthem is two minutes 15 seconds, with each prop listed at -120 on the moneyline, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

The last 11 anthem performers have needed an average of 1:58 to complete the song.

Bryan is listed at -200 to be wearing jeans when he starts the anthem (+150 for any other type of attire) and -700 to not leave out any words, as Christina Aguilera did a few years back.

Picking heads or tails, or either the Atlanta Falcons or New England Patriots to win the coin toss are each listed at -105. The coin has come up tails in the last three Super Bowls, after a five-year stretch of landing heads. The team winning the coin toss is 6-9 in the last 15 years, so perhaps bettors should feel secure picking the team they feel will lose the game.

Pop singer Lady Gaga may rely on shock value with her outfits, but lead halftime entertainers tend to go with the tried-and-true from their song catalogs.

Given the political climate in the United States, it’s not surprising that Born This Way, which includes empowerment themes, is favored at +225 to be the first song that Gaga performs. Bad Romance is second at +250, with Edge of Glory (+600), Just Dance (+1000) and Poker Face (+1000) also on the board.

Lastly, but certainly not least, there is the prop wager on what color of Gatorade (for betting purposes, Gatorade can be any liquid) will be poured over the winning coach. Clear/water, lime/green, orange and yellow are each listed at +300. Each team’s color is on the board, with the red of the Falcons listed at +600 and the blue of the Patriots listed at +750.

Orange has been used in four of the last seven years. Only twice in the past 16 years has the color synced with the winning team’s color – the Pittsburgh Steelers (yellow) after Super Bowl 43 and the Denver Broncos (orange) after last season’s Super Bowl 50.

As for the game, the Patriots are three-point favorites against the Falcons with a 58.5 total.

NFL Draft Betting Value Rests Beyond Browns’ No. 1 Overall Pick

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The only certainty on the morning of the 2018 NFL draft is that the Cleveland Browns, with the No. 1 and 4 overall picks, will take a quarterback – which has created a ripple effect on other betting props.

Southern California quarterback Sam Darnold is the -180 favorite to be the No. 1 overall choice in the 2018 NFL draft that takes begins in Arlington, Texas on Thursday, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

The other players in the No. 1 pick prop include three other quarterbacks, Wyoming’s Josh Allen (+175), Oklahoma’s Baker Mayfield (+450) and UCLA’s Josh Rosen (+1800), plus Penn State running back Saquon Barkley (+600) and North Carolina State defensive end Bradley Chubb (+4500).

Quarterbacks have been taken No. 1 in 12 of the last 17 drafts and no running back has been the top pick since 1995. Darnold’s price might reflect an expectation that his skillset is most in tune with conventional NFL thinking. If a bettor believes the Browns will buck convention, well, Allen is believed to have better physical tools and there is the Hail Mary option of Mayfield, whose competitiveness and athleticism is offset by being short for a NFL quarterback.

The quarterback-at-No. 1 argument adds values to other props. Barkley (+175) has the lowest price but is still plus money as the No. 2 overall selection on the 2018 NFL draft betting props board. The New York Giants have that pick and general manager Dave Gettleman does not have a history of trading down at the draft. The Giants haven’t indicated a focus on a QB, which seemingly rules out Darnold (+275), Allen (+350) and Rosen (+400).

The New York Jets are a lock to take a quarterback, creating a very tight No. 3 overall prop between Rosen (+140) and Mayfield (+160). The play there depends on what type of risk bettors believe the Jets want to take on: with Mayfield, the only knock is his height (a smidge about 6-foot), while Rosen battled concussions in college.

Between the Browns also holding the No. 4 choice and the Denver Broncos possibly trading down from No. 5, the +225 price on whether one of the first five picks will be traded is a very enticing proposition. The Buffalo Bills are one of the quarterback-hungry teams with two first-round picks they could ante to move up in the draft order, while speculation also has the New England Patriots looking to move up, since Tom Brady presumably will not play forever.

Position props can also be great fun. The over/under on quarterbacks selected in the first round is 5.5. Only once – the famed John Elway-Jim Kelly-Dan Marino draft in 1983 – have six QBs gone in the first round. Tying that record would require both Louisville’s Lamar Jackson and Oklahoma State’s Mason Rudolph to go in the first round. The over/under on Jackson’s draft slot is 17.5

It is considered a thin year for elite wide receivers, so the -150 under on the 2.5 total seems like the percentage play. Teams have been wary of using first-rounders on running backs in recent years, but the total is only 1.5, making the -220 over a realistic hit since, after Barkley goes, only one team would have to take a chance on a back such as Louisiana State’s Derrius Guice or Georgia’s Sony Michel.

For more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes or listen to it at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

 

 

Best ads from Super Bowl LII

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The best Super Bowl ads made us laugh, cry, and audibly wonder how much a trip to Australia would cost.

Here are some of the best ads from Super Bowl LII:

GOAT Ad: Doritos, Mountain Dew collaboration with Peter Dinklage and Morgan Freeman rapping Busta Rhymes and Missy Elliott

Peter Dinklage and Morgan Freeman in any Super Bowl commercial was going to be epic, but having them RAP (lip sync, obviously) Busta Rhymes and Missy Elliott?! That was what Super Bowl commercials are made for.

Leaving on a Jet Plane: Australia Tourism

It’s cold on the East Coast right now and Australia looks nice and warm, so this ad should move Australia to the next spot on your vacation list. The ad referenced a “remake” of ‘Crocodile Dundee’ with Chris Hemsworth and Danny McBride, the incredible Australian wine, and stunning beaches.

Laugh Out Loud: NFL’s Dirty Dancing tribute ad

Eli Manning and Odell Beckham Jr. had the time of their lives during Super Bowl LII, paying tribute to Dirty Dancing’s famous dance routine and acrobatic leap done by Jennifer Grey and Patrick Swayze.

You are, you’re a Superstar… commercial: Amazon

Amazon brought the star power to their Amazon Echo spot, with Gordon Ramsey, Cardi B, Leslie Jones, Rebel Wilson and Anthony Hopkins, filling in for a voiceless Amazon Alexa.

Get the tissues: Hyundai

Hyundai’s ad where car buyers meeting cancer patients that they helped by purchasing a car hit you right in the feels. It was obvious that every parent was on the edge of tears while watching the videos of patients saying thank you.

If you want to watch all of the Super Bowl ads, check them out here.