Cowboys underdogs, Giants favorites on NFL Week 10 betting lines

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Ben Roethlisberger is suiting up, but whether the Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback is healthy enough to have a full game plan against the Dallas Cowboys in a Week 10 matchup remains to be seen.

The Steelers are the slim 2.5-point favorite against the Cowboys, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. While Roethlisberger’s play against Baltimore on Sunday showed he is not 100 percent, the Steelers are 7-2 SU in their last nine games after losing as a favorite. The NFC-leading Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games against the AFC.

The New England Patriots are the seven-point favorite against the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday night. New England, which is 4-1 SU and ATS in its last five games as a favorite of 7.0 or less, has had a bye week to develop a run-pass balance to throw at Seattle’s defense. Seattle QB Russell Wilson delivered a win in Week 9 with no running game, but that’s unlikely on the road in New England.

The Atlanta Falcons are in a pick’em betting matchup on the road against the Philadelphia Eagles. Atlanta QB Matt Ryan and WR Julio Jones have seldom been slowed down in the passing phase, where the Eagles have been prone to allowing big plays lately. Eagles QB Carson Wentz’s propensity for slow starts might hamper his team’s capacity to trade touchdowns with a league-leading opposing offense.

The New York Giants are the 2.5-point favorite against the Cincinnati Bengals on Monday night. The Giants’ much improved defense, particularly CBs Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and Janoris Jenkins, will have to limit big plays by Bengals WR A.J. Green. The Bengals’ 25th-ranked defense will have new personnel and looks to throw at QB Eli Manning, who will not have LG Justin Pugh (knee) blocking for him.

The Washington Redskins are favored by three against the Minnesota Vikings. Minnesota, which has lost three in a row, will try to ease the load on QB Sam Bradford by taking advantage of Washington’s leaky rush defense. Washington QB Kirk Cousins will be facing one of his toughest tests of the season against Minnesota’s third-ranked defense. The favored team is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games in this matchup.

And the Houston Texans are the 1.5-point road favorite against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Texans, who are coming off their bye week, will try extending their trend of being 7-0 SU and 6-0-1 in their last seven games against the AFC South. Jacksonville is weak against the run which should help RB Lamar Miller, but Texans QB Brock Osweiler will have to curb his mistakes against CB Jalen Ramsey and an underrated Jaguars secondary.

Patriots settle as small favorites on Super Bowl odds 2019

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For all the narratives that can hang off the great Tom Brady and Super Bowl first-timer Jared Goff, two of the big moving parts in the matchup on Super Sunday involve the rushing phase.

The New England Patriots have settled as 2.5-point favorites on the Super Bowl odds 2019 against the Los Angeles Rams with a 56.5-point total at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com in the Super Bowl 53 matchup slated for Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on Sunday.

The Bill Belichick- and Brady-led Patriots are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games as a favorite of 3.0 or fewer points, according to the OddsShark NFL Database, while the Rams are 4-3 straight-up and ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. Interestingly enough, underdogs are 13-4 ATS in the last 17 Super Bowl games.

As so often happens, the last two teams standings are in good health. The biggest exception for New England, whose run defense has been league-average much of the season, is that defensive tackle Malcom Brown (calf) was limited in practice. The Rams claim leading rusher Todd Gurley (left knee inflammation) is 100 per cent after he had only five touches during the NFC championship game two weeks ago.

Backing the Patriots, who are 13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS on the year, involves putting stock in Brady and cohorts’ abundant Super Bowl experience, along with the fact the offense has been at peak form, averaging 38.7 points and 465.7 yards per game over its last three outings.

The Patriots’ offensive line will arguably be the unofficial playoff MVP, collectively, if it contains the Rams’ front four anchored by Aaron Donald, the best defensive lineman in football. If Brady, the subject of many Super Bowl props for Sunday, isn’t disrupted and/or the opposing pass rush is sucking wind after a ball-control drive, the Patriots passing game is lethal.

The Rams, 15-3 SU and 9-7-2 ATS, are new to the tumult of the Super Bowl. However, head coach Sean McVay thrives at creating mismatches, and two of the Rams’ season-long strengths, running out one-back, one-tight end sets and using play-action passes, are not tactics that New England has defended particularly well.

Goff also led five game-winning drives during the season, emerging victorious in quarterback matchups against stars such as Drew Brees, Patrick Mahomes and Russell Wilson (twice).

The total has gone OVER in seven of the Patriots’ last eight games in the playoffs. New England’s last four closely contested playoff games have featured 68, 74, 44 and 62 points.

For more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes or Spotify or listen to it at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

First commercial, Trump Tweets, Gatorade color among Super Bowl LIII props

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Fans watch the Super Bowl for the commercials as much as the game, which also lends itself to Super Bowl props.

For instance, Bud Light is the -105 favorite have a commercial appear first during the telecast at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The brewer has a long track record of attention-getting ads, and making a first impression can whet the appetite for something later on in the evening.

Budweiser (+200) is a second favorite on that prop and there might be longshot value on Stella Artois (+550), whose ad will include Jeff Bridges and Sarah Jessica Parker reprising their respective roles from The Big Lebowski and Sex and the City. Michelob Ultra (+550) and Bon & Viv Spiked Seltzer (+550) are also on the board.

The total number of commercials is set at 96, with both the over and under priced at -120. In the car commercial prop, Hyundai (-250) is favored against Mercedes-Benz (+170), but it might be worth playing a hunch since the February 3 game is at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.

Atlanta has also been hit by wintry weather this week, and it’s -140 on the Super Bowl 2019 prop bets on the stadium’s roof being closed against even money for open.

The previous two championship matchups each had over 60 points scored, and the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Rams are certainly capable of trading touchdowns. It is -140 that any scoring drive will consume less game time than however long it will take Gladys Knight to perform The Star-Spangled Banner.

As far as coach props, the over/under is 1.5 on broadcaster references to the relative youthfulness of 33-year-old Rams coach Sean McVay, with the over (-220) favored against the under (+155). Los Angeles is the underdog on the 2019 Super Bowl odds.

There is also a total set for the number of tweets from President Donald Trump’s Twitter account during the big game. Over 6.0 tweets is a -140 favorite with the under an even-money underdog. It is -650 on Trump not attending the game and +375 on him showing up. He did not attend Super Bowl LII in 2018.

A cross-sport bet is whether Houston Rockets star James Harden’s streak of 30-point games – 24 and counting – will end before Super Bowl LIII does, with -120 odds either way. Harden’s next two opponents, the Denver Nuggets and Utah Jazz, have each managed to keep him under 30 at least once this season.

As far as props that pay off postgame are concerned, there is the ever-popular bet on what color liquid the winning coach will be doused in after the game. Clear / water (+220) is a slim favorite over lime / green / yellow (+225), followed by orange (+400), blue (+400), red (+600) and purple (+1000). The Patriots, for what it might be worth, have poured a clear liquid on coach Bill Belichick following each of their four most recent Super Bowl wins.

For more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes or Spotify or listen to it at OddsShark.libsyn.com.