Sunday Night Football: Cowboys betting favorites against division-rival Eagles

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The Dallas Cowboys will look to capitalize on some key Philadelphia Eagles injuries and end the home-team jinx in the long-running NFC East rivalry this weekend. The Cowboys are listed as the four-point favorites against the Eagles with a 43-point total in the Sunday Night Football betting matchup at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

The visiting team is 6-0 straight-up in the last six matchups between the teams, according to the OddsShark NFL Database, and the Cowboys are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games at home after winning their two most recent home games.

Dallas, which is 5-1 SU and 5-0-1 ATS, will bring in the NFL’s most prolific rushing attack with C Travis Frederick, RG Zack Martin and LT Tryon Smith opening holes for RB Ezekiel Elliott. Philadelphia’s defensive-line depth will be compromised if DT Bennie Logan (groin) is out entirely. Philadelphia has also lost nickel CB Ron Brooks (ruptured quad) for the season, depriving them of a defender to track slippery slot WR Cole Beasley.

Rookie QB Dak Prescott has thrived in a scheme that calls on him to get the ball out quickly and also occasionally run on misdirection plays. The Eagles, whose 20 sacks put them among the NFL leaders, will have to put Prescott in some obvious passing downs in order to take him out of his comfort zone.

The Cowboys have had a bye week to prepare since defeating the Green Bay Packers soundly in Week 6. Dallas is 7-2 SU in their last nine games after winning as an underdog.

Philadelphia is 4-2 SU and ATS. The output from rookie QB Carson Wentz and the WR trio of Nelson Algohor, Dorial Green-Beckham and Jordan Matthews has waned in recent weeks. Dallas has a middle-of-the-pack pass defense with SS Barry Church, FS Byron Jones, CB Brandon Carr and CB Morris Claiborne.

The Eagles need to exhibit a deep pass threat in order to clear space for TE Zach Ertz and RB Darren Sproles, who each have favorable matchups.

Eagles LT Jason Peters will likely draw the assignment of blocking DE DeMarcus Lawrence, who is back from suspension. Provided RB Ryan Matthews is over his fumbling issues, the Eagles have the potential to mount some ball-control drives of their own and go into the fourth quarter with a chance to win.

Philadelphia, which lost to Washington in its last away game, is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games after failing to cover in its most recent road game.

The total has gone over in six of Philadelphia’s last seven road games, with one push. The total has gone over in Dallas’ last four games where they were favored at home. Kickoff for the Eagles vs. Cowboys betting matchup in Arlington is set for 8:30pm ET on Sunday night.

NFL Draft Betting Value Rests Beyond Browns’ No. 1 Overall Pick

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The only certainty on the morning of the 2018 NFL draft is that the Cleveland Browns, with the No. 1 and 4 overall picks, will take a quarterback – which has created a ripple effect on other betting props.

Southern California quarterback Sam Darnold is the -180 favorite to be the No. 1 overall choice in the 2018 NFL draft that takes begins in Arlington, Texas on Thursday, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

The other players in the No. 1 pick prop include three other quarterbacks, Wyoming’s Josh Allen (+175), Oklahoma’s Baker Mayfield (+450) and UCLA’s Josh Rosen (+1800), plus Penn State running back Saquon Barkley (+600) and North Carolina State defensive end Bradley Chubb (+4500).

Quarterbacks have been taken No. 1 in 12 of the last 17 drafts and no running back has been the top pick since 1995. Darnold’s price might reflect an expectation that his skillset is most in tune with conventional NFL thinking. If a bettor believes the Browns will buck convention, well, Allen is believed to have better physical tools and there is the Hail Mary option of Mayfield, whose competitiveness and athleticism is offset by being short for a NFL quarterback.

The quarterback-at-No. 1 argument adds values to other props. Barkley (+175) has the lowest price but is still plus money as the No. 2 overall selection on the 2018 NFL draft betting props board. The New York Giants have that pick and general manager Dave Gettleman does not have a history of trading down at the draft. The Giants haven’t indicated a focus on a QB, which seemingly rules out Darnold (+275), Allen (+350) and Rosen (+400).

The New York Jets are a lock to take a quarterback, creating a very tight No. 3 overall prop between Rosen (+140) and Mayfield (+160). The play there depends on what type of risk bettors believe the Jets want to take on: with Mayfield, the only knock is his height (a smidge about 6-foot), while Rosen battled concussions in college.

Between the Browns also holding the No. 4 choice and the Denver Broncos possibly trading down from No. 5, the +225 price on whether one of the first five picks will be traded is a very enticing proposition. The Buffalo Bills are one of the quarterback-hungry teams with two first-round picks they could ante to move up in the draft order, while speculation also has the New England Patriots looking to move up, since Tom Brady presumably will not play forever.

Position props can also be great fun. The over/under on quarterbacks selected in the first round is 5.5. Only once – the famed John Elway-Jim Kelly-Dan Marino draft in 1983 – have six QBs gone in the first round. Tying that record would require both Louisville’s Lamar Jackson and Oklahoma State’s Mason Rudolph to go in the first round. The over/under on Jackson’s draft slot is 17.5

It is considered a thin year for elite wide receivers, so the -150 under on the 2.5 total seems like the percentage play. Teams have been wary of using first-rounders on running backs in recent years, but the total is only 1.5, making the -220 over a realistic hit since, after Barkley goes, only one team would have to take a chance on a back such as Louisiana State’s Derrius Guice or Georgia’s Sony Michel.

For more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes or listen to it at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

 

 

Best ads from Super Bowl LII

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The best Super Bowl ads made us laugh, cry, and audibly wonder how much a trip to Australia would cost.

Here are some of the best ads from Super Bowl LII:

GOAT Ad: Doritos, Mountain Dew collaboration with Peter Dinklage and Morgan Freeman rapping Busta Rhymes and Missy Elliott

Peter Dinklage and Morgan Freeman in any Super Bowl commercial was going to be epic, but having them RAP (lip sync, obviously) Busta Rhymes and Missy Elliott?! That was what Super Bowl commercials are made for.

Leaving on a Jet Plane: Australia Tourism

It’s cold on the East Coast right now and Australia looks nice and warm, so this ad should move Australia to the next spot on your vacation list. The ad referenced a “remake” of ‘Crocodile Dundee’ with Chris Hemsworth and Danny McBride, the incredible Australian wine, and stunning beaches.

Laugh Out Loud: NFL’s Dirty Dancing tribute ad

Eli Manning and Odell Beckham Jr. had the time of their lives during Super Bowl LII, paying tribute to Dirty Dancing’s famous dance routine and acrobatic leap done by Jennifer Grey and Patrick Swayze.

You are, you’re a Superstar… commercial: Amazon

Amazon brought the star power to their Amazon Echo spot, with Gordon Ramsey, Cardi B, Leslie Jones, Rebel Wilson and Anthony Hopkins, filling in for a voiceless Amazon Alexa.

Get the tissues: Hyundai

Hyundai’s ad where car buyers meeting cancer patients that they helped by purchasing a car hit you right in the feels. It was obvious that every parent was on the edge of tears while watching the videos of patients saying thank you.

If you want to watch all of the Super Bowl ads, check them out here.