NFL Week 5 Odds: Cardinals, Packers, Patriots highlight betting favorites

Leave a comment

Week 5 of the NFL season begins Thursday with the floundering Arizona Cardinals favored by four points against the San Francisco 49ers at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.  The Cardinals are 5-1 straight up in their last six games after consecutive losses. The 49ers are 6-1 SU and 5-2 against the spread in their last seven home games against the Cardinals.

Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers will be out to attain their typical October form against Eli Manning and the New York Giants in the Sunday Night matchup.

The Packers are listed as seven-point favorites against the Giants. The Packers are 13-1 SU in their last 14 October games. Green Bay, which had a bye after a Week 3 home win against the Detroit Lions, is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 home games after a home win.

The Giants are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog of at least seven points.

With Tom Brady back, the New England Patriots are 10.5-point favorites against the Cleveland Browns. New England is 9-1 SU and 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when favored by at least 7.5 points on the road. Cleveland is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games as the underdog.

The Cincinnati Bengals are a one-point road favorite against the Dallas Cowboys. The Bengals are 7-3 SU and 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games in Week 5.

The undefeated Philadelphia Eagles are a 2.5-point road favorite on the Vegas lines against the 1-3 Detroit Lions. The Eagles are 2-6 SU in their last eight games after consecutive wins. The Lions are 8-2 SU in their last 10 home games after losing their prior home game.

The Denver Broncos are a 5.5-point favorite against the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as road underdogs. The Broncos are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games as home favorites.

The Oakland Raiders are favored by four points against the San Diego Chargers. The Chargers are 0-9 SU in their last nine divisional games. The Raiders are 6-23 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less.

The Baltimore Ravens are favored by four points against the Washington Redskins. The Redskins are 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. The Ravens are 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite.

And the Los Angeles Rams are a 2.5-point favorite against the Buffalo Bills. The Bills, who shut out New England in Week 4, are 3-15-2 ATS in their last 20 games after winning as an underdog. The Rams, coming off a win against Arizona, are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games after winning as an underdog.

NFL Draft Betting Value Rests Beyond Browns’ No. 1 Overall Pick

Getty Images
Leave a comment

The only certainty on the morning of the 2018 NFL draft is that the Cleveland Browns, with the No. 1 and 4 overall picks, will take a quarterback – which has created a ripple effect on other betting props.

Southern California quarterback Sam Darnold is the -180 favorite to be the No. 1 overall choice in the 2018 NFL draft that takes begins in Arlington, Texas on Thursday, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

The other players in the No. 1 pick prop include three other quarterbacks, Wyoming’s Josh Allen (+175), Oklahoma’s Baker Mayfield (+450) and UCLA’s Josh Rosen (+1800), plus Penn State running back Saquon Barkley (+600) and North Carolina State defensive end Bradley Chubb (+4500).

Quarterbacks have been taken No. 1 in 12 of the last 17 drafts and no running back has been the top pick since 1995. Darnold’s price might reflect an expectation that his skillset is most in tune with conventional NFL thinking. If a bettor believes the Browns will buck convention, well, Allen is believed to have better physical tools and there is the Hail Mary option of Mayfield, whose competitiveness and athleticism is offset by being short for a NFL quarterback.

The quarterback-at-No. 1 argument adds values to other props. Barkley (+175) has the lowest price but is still plus money as the No. 2 overall selection on the 2018 NFL draft betting props board. The New York Giants have that pick and general manager Dave Gettleman does not have a history of trading down at the draft. The Giants haven’t indicated a focus on a QB, which seemingly rules out Darnold (+275), Allen (+350) and Rosen (+400).

The New York Jets are a lock to take a quarterback, creating a very tight No. 3 overall prop between Rosen (+140) and Mayfield (+160). The play there depends on what type of risk bettors believe the Jets want to take on: with Mayfield, the only knock is his height (a smidge about 6-foot), while Rosen battled concussions in college.

Between the Browns also holding the No. 4 choice and the Denver Broncos possibly trading down from No. 5, the +225 price on whether one of the first five picks will be traded is a very enticing proposition. The Buffalo Bills are one of the quarterback-hungry teams with two first-round picks they could ante to move up in the draft order, while speculation also has the New England Patriots looking to move up, since Tom Brady presumably will not play forever.

Position props can also be great fun. The over/under on quarterbacks selected in the first round is 5.5. Only once – the famed John Elway-Jim Kelly-Dan Marino draft in 1983 – have six QBs gone in the first round. Tying that record would require both Louisville’s Lamar Jackson and Oklahoma State’s Mason Rudolph to go in the first round. The over/under on Jackson’s draft slot is 17.5

It is considered a thin year for elite wide receivers, so the -150 under on the 2.5 total seems like the percentage play. Teams have been wary of using first-rounders on running backs in recent years, but the total is only 1.5, making the -220 over a realistic hit since, after Barkley goes, only one team would have to take a chance on a back such as Louisiana State’s Derrius Guice or Georgia’s Sony Michel.

For more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes or listen to it at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

 

 

Best ads from Super Bowl LII

Leave a comment

The best Super Bowl ads made us laugh, cry, and audibly wonder how much a trip to Australia would cost.

Here are some of the best ads from Super Bowl LII:

GOAT Ad: Doritos, Mountain Dew collaboration with Peter Dinklage and Morgan Freeman rapping Busta Rhymes and Missy Elliott

Peter Dinklage and Morgan Freeman in any Super Bowl commercial was going to be epic, but having them RAP (lip sync, obviously) Busta Rhymes and Missy Elliott?! That was what Super Bowl commercials are made for.

Leaving on a Jet Plane: Australia Tourism

It’s cold on the East Coast right now and Australia looks nice and warm, so this ad should move Australia to the next spot on your vacation list. The ad referenced a “remake” of ‘Crocodile Dundee’ with Chris Hemsworth and Danny McBride, the incredible Australian wine, and stunning beaches.

Laugh Out Loud: NFL’s Dirty Dancing tribute ad

Eli Manning and Odell Beckham Jr. had the time of their lives during Super Bowl LII, paying tribute to Dirty Dancing’s famous dance routine and acrobatic leap done by Jennifer Grey and Patrick Swayze.

You are, you’re a Superstar… commercial: Amazon

Amazon brought the star power to their Amazon Echo spot, with Gordon Ramsey, Cardi B, Leslie Jones, Rebel Wilson and Anthony Hopkins, filling in for a voiceless Amazon Alexa.

Get the tissues: Hyundai

Hyundai’s ad where car buyers meeting cancer patients that they helped by purchasing a car hit you right in the feels. It was obvious that every parent was on the edge of tears while watching the videos of patients saying thank you.

If you want to watch all of the Super Bowl ads, check them out here.