The Green Bay Packers have an OVER/UNDER wins total of 10.5 for the season ahead at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com, and one NFL prediction website has the UNDER wager pegged as the correct choice on that betting line heading into the 2016 campaign.
At PredictionMachine.com the Packers are projected to win 10.1 games in the season ahead, which would be in line with their 2015 performance in which they posted a 10-6 record. That was good for just second place in the NFC North standings behind the 11-5 Minnesota Vikings, with the Packers then having to settle for a Wild Card berth in the NFC postseason.
Green Bay beat Washington soundly in a 35-18 victory on Wild Card Weekend last season, but they came up short in a 26-20 loss at Arizona against the Cardinals in the second round.
The Packers went OVER 10.5 wins on the season as recently as 2014, when they posted a 12-4 record and won the NFC North title. Green Bay has picked up 56 wins over the past five seasons, an average of 11.2 wins per year, highlighted by the team’s 15-1 mark back in 2011.
And while that preseason projection has the Packers falling UNDER 10.5 wins on the season, at the sportsbooks the OVER is the chalk wager at -175 (bet $175 to win $100). Green Bay is also the -180 favorite on the odds to win the NFC North, and at +850 on the Super Bowl odds.
That +850 line has the Packers second behind only the New England Patriots (+600) on the Super Bowl LI odds, and Aaron Rodgers and company are also ranked as the second most likely team to win the title at PredictionMachine.com; the website ran the 2016 NFL campaign 50,000 times, with the Packers ending up winning the Super Bowl 9.7% of the time overall.
The Seattle Seahawks won the Super Bowl in 11.7% of the projections, with the Cardinals coming out on top 8.9% of the time. The top AFC team according to the predictive score modeling site is actually the Pittsburgh Steelers, who won the Super Bowl 7.3% of the time in the projections. The Patriots fell behind in that computer simulation, winning 6% of the time.
The Packers will get their regular-season schedule underway on Sunday, September 11 when they pay a visit to the Jacksonville Jaguars. PredictionMachine.com gives the Packers a 61.9% chance of winning that game, with the projected score Green Bay 28.2-23.1.