Virginia Cavaliers

Week 12: Wisconsin, Georgia, USC among college football favorites

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While ball security has been problematic for the Wisconsin Badgers, they have been a secure lock for bettors against Michigan. The undefeated Badgers are a 7.5-point favorite against the Michigan Wolverines with a 40-point total in their Week 12 college football matchup at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

Taking an erratic interception-prone passing game with QB Alex Hornibrook into a matchup against Michigan’s No. 3-ranked defense is a concern, but the OddsShark College Football Database shows that Wisconsin is 8-1-1 against the spread in its last 10 games against Michigan.

With a dominant No. 1-ranked defense and a strong rushing game built around freshman Jonathan Taylor, the Badgers have a similar structure to coach Jim Harbaugh’s Michigan team but have been more proficient in both those areas. That explains why Wisconsin is 7-0 straight-up and 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven games in November.

Michigan is coming off a road win against Maryland but is 4-15-1 ATS in its last 20 road games after winning their most recent road game. The total has gone over in nine of Wisconsin’s last 11 games against its conference The total has gone over in eight of Michigan’s last 11 road games .

The Georgia Bulldogs are 21-point favorites against the Kentucky Wildcats, with a 51 total. Kentucky is 4-14 SU and 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games in November. Georgia is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games in Week 12.

The Oklahoma Sooners are 36.5-point road favorites against the Kansas Jayhawks, with a 70.5 total. The visiting team is 1-5 ATS in its last six games in this matchup. The total has gone over in 15 of Oklahoma’s last 18 road games .

The Miami Hurricanes are 19-point favorites against the Virginia Cavaliers, with a 50.5 total. The visiting team is 5-1 ATS in its last six games in this matchup, but Virginia is 1-16 SU in its last 17 road games against teams with winning records. The total has gone under in Miami’s last seven games.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 17.5-point favorites against the Navy Midshipmen, with a 60.5 total. Navy is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games against Notre Dame. Navy is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games against Notre Dame. Notre Dame is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games against the American Athletic Conference.

The Penn State Nittany Lions are 26-point favorites against the Nebraska Cornhuskers, with a 56 total. Nebraska is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 road games. Penn State is 10-1-1 ATS in its last 12 home games.

The Auburn Tigers are 37-point favorites against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, with a 68 total. Louisiana-Monroe is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games. Auburn is 8-14-3 in its last 25 home games. The total has gone over in Auburn’s last five games.

The TCU Horned Frogs are 6.5-point road favorites against the Texas Tech Red Raiders, with a 57 total. TCU, which lost to Oklahoma in Week 11, is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games after a loss. Texas Tech is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games in November. The total has gone under in TCU’s last six games against its conference.

The USC Trojans are 16-point favorites against the UCLA Bruins, with a 71 total. UCLA is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 road games against USC. The total has gone under in nine of UCLA’s last 11 games against USC. Southern California is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games after a win.

And the Washington Huskies are 17-point favorites against the Utah Utes, with a 47 total. Utah is 11-0 ATS in its last 11 road games against teams with winning records. Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games against its conference.

Texas A&M trails favorites on updated NCAA Tournament odds

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The Texas A&M Aggies carved themselves a place in college basketball history with a record-setting comeback on Sunday, earning a Sweet Sixteen berth with a thrilling 92-88 double overtime victory over the Northern Iowa Panthers.

However, the Aggies’ heroics have done little to lift their national championship odds, which continue to lag at 20/1 at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

The Aggies, seeded third in the West Region, will have another opportunity to convince the oddsmakers on Thursday, when they take on No. 2 Oklahoma as 2-point underdogs in their Sweet Sixteen matchup.

Texas A&M rides an impressive 10-2 straight up run into Thursday night’s Aggies vs. Sooners betting matchup at Honda Center, and faces an Oklahoma squad that has dropped seven straight against the spread but remains among the March Madness betting favorites with strong 15/2 odds.

Not surprisingly, the top-seeded Kansas Jayhawks continue to lead the way on the national championship odds, perched as 7/2 chalk at the sportsbooks.

The Jayhawks were dominant in South Region action on the first weekend of the Big Dance, bouncing No. 16 Austin Peay in the first round before disposing of No. 9 Connecticut in their second-round matchup, outscoring their opponents by a combined 38 points.

That extended their current SU win streak to 16 games, 13-3 ATS, according to the OddsShark College Basketball Database.

The North Carolina Tar Heels, top seeds in the East and winners of seven straight SU, closely follow the Jayhawks, but face a huge challenge in their Sweet Sixteen matchup with No. 5 Indiana, who join the Aggies at 20/1 on the odds to win the NCAA Tournament.

Top seeds in the Midwest, the Virginia Cavaliers have seen their March Madness odds get a boost following No. 2 Michigan State’s shocking opening-round loss, climbing from 12/1 to a competitive 23/4, but must first get past No. 4 Iowa State, who enter the Sweet Sixteen gunning for a third straight win over the Cavaliers but sport long 28/1 championship odds.

The Oregon Ducks, who sit atop the West Region bracket, join the South’s No. 2-seeded Villanova Wildcats as the best of the rest on the latest college basketball futures, pegged at 12/1, ahead of the defending-champion Duke Blue Devils, who sport 18/1 odds ahead of their Sweet Sixteen date with Oregon.

A trio of squads join the Cyclones at 28/1, including the Miami Hurricanes, Gonzaga Bulldogs, and Maryland Terrapins, while the Syracuse Orange sit alongside the Wisconsin Badgers and Notre Dame Fighting Irish as 33/1 longshots to win the title.

March Madness prop wagers highlight top seeds

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No. 2 seeds have not fared well at the NCAA Tournament in recent years, failing to claim a national championship since Connecticut’s victory in 2004.

However, with the No. 2 Michigan State Spartans perched as a strong 11/2 bet to claim this year’s title, the odds of a No. 2 seed winning the championship are pegged at +250 at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

Meanwhile, the odds of a top seed, including Kansas, North Carolina, Oregon, and Virginia, claiming the 2016 crown are listed at +120 at the sportsbooks. Three of the past four national champions have been No. 1 seeds, but expectations remain tempered this year, reflected by the short -160 odds against a No. 1 seed winning the tournament.

While top seeds are attracting attention at the sportsbooks as championship candidates, they are also stirring interest in prop bets on which No. 1 seed will be the first one eliminated.

Winners of eight straight games, the Ducks have closed the gap on the national championship favorites since being selected as the No. 1 seed in the West Region, climbing to a competitive 14/1 after starting the month at a distant 33/1.

Oregon faces arguably the toughest road on opening weekend, including a possible second-round matchup with the Atlantic 10 Tournament champion St. Joseph’s Hawks, followed by a potential Sweet Sixteen showdown with either the Baylor Bears or the defending champion Duke Blue Devils, and is listed as -120 chalk to be the first No. 1 seed knocked off this year.

The Cavaliers, who are on track to face Iowa State in the Sweet 16, sit at +300, followed by UNC at +350, and the national championship favorite Jayhawks at +400.

In other March Madness props at the sportsbooks, the odds of a No. 16 seed claiming a first-round victory for the first time in tournament history sit at +1000, while a bet on a No. 12 win this weekend pays out at -200.

The line on the highest margin of victory in a first-round matchup sits at 36.5, with -120 odds attached to both the OVER and UNDER, while the line on the highest point total scored by one team in the first round is pegged at 96.5.