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Week 12: Wisconsin, Georgia, USC among college football favorites

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While ball security has been problematic for the Wisconsin Badgers, they have been a secure lock for bettors against Michigan. The undefeated Badgers are a 7.5-point favorite against the Michigan Wolverines with a 40-point total in their Week 12 college football matchup at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

Taking an erratic interception-prone passing game with QB Alex Hornibrook into a matchup against Michigan’s No. 3-ranked defense is a concern, but the OddsShark College Football Database shows that Wisconsin is 8-1-1 against the spread in its last 10 games against Michigan.

With a dominant No. 1-ranked defense and a strong rushing game built around freshman Jonathan Taylor, the Badgers have a similar structure to coach Jim Harbaugh’s Michigan team but have been more proficient in both those areas. That explains why Wisconsin is 7-0 straight-up and 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven games in November.

Michigan is coming off a road win against Maryland but is 4-15-1 ATS in its last 20 road games after winning their most recent road game. The total has gone over in nine of Wisconsin’s last 11 games against its conference The total has gone over in eight of Michigan’s last 11 road games .

The Georgia Bulldogs are 21-point favorites against the Kentucky Wildcats, with a 51 total. Kentucky is 4-14 SU and 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games in November. Georgia is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games in Week 12.

The Oklahoma Sooners are 36.5-point road favorites against the Kansas Jayhawks, with a 70.5 total. The visiting team is 1-5 ATS in its last six games in this matchup. The total has gone over in 15 of Oklahoma’s last 18 road games .

The Miami Hurricanes are 19-point favorites against the Virginia Cavaliers, with a 50.5 total. The visiting team is 5-1 ATS in its last six games in this matchup, but Virginia is 1-16 SU in its last 17 road games against teams with winning records. The total has gone under in Miami’s last seven games.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 17.5-point favorites against the Navy Midshipmen, with a 60.5 total. Navy is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games against Notre Dame. Navy is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games against Notre Dame. Notre Dame is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games against the American Athletic Conference.

The Penn State Nittany Lions are 26-point favorites against the Nebraska Cornhuskers, with a 56 total. Nebraska is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 road games. Penn State is 10-1-1 ATS in its last 12 home games.

The Auburn Tigers are 37-point favorites against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, with a 68 total. Louisiana-Monroe is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games. Auburn is 8-14-3 in its last 25 home games. The total has gone over in Auburn’s last five games.

The TCU Horned Frogs are 6.5-point road favorites against the Texas Tech Red Raiders, with a 57 total. TCU, which lost to Oklahoma in Week 11, is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games after a loss. Texas Tech is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games in November. The total has gone under in TCU’s last six games against its conference.

The USC Trojans are 16-point favorites against the UCLA Bruins, with a 71 total. UCLA is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 road games against USC. The total has gone under in nine of UCLA’s last 11 games against USC. Southern California is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games after a win.

And the Washington Huskies are 17-point favorites against the Utah Utes, with a 47 total. Utah is 11-0 ATS in its last 11 road games against teams with winning records. Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games against its conference.

Alabama, Georgia highlight college football odds in Week 4

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Getting the cover when they host good teams has bedeviled the Georgia Bulldogs recently, which suggests the line against the Mississippi State Bulldogs might be a bit generous. Georgia is listed as a six-point favorite against Mississippi State with a 48.5 total in their Week 4 matchup at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

Georgia is only 2-5 against the spread in its last seven games against teams with winning records, although they are 12-1 straight-up in their last 13 games in September. Mississippi State is coming off a statement win where they won by 30 points against LSU, but these Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after winning as the underdog.

Most of the teams ranked in the Top 10 are on the road in Week 4.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 18.5-road favorites against the Vanderbilt Commodores, with a 43 total. Alabama is 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in its last eight conference road games, according to the OddsShark College Football Database. The total has gone under in 15 of Vanderbilt’s last 18 games against its conference.

The Penn State Nittany Lions are 12.5-point road favorites against the Iowa Hawkeyes, with a 52 total. Penn State is 11-0-1 ATS in its last 12 games. Iowa is 2-7 ATS in its last nine conference games at home.

The Clemson Tigers are 34-point favorites against the Boston College Eagles, with a 53 total. The total has gone under in 14 of Boston College’s last 19 games against its conference. Clemson is 5-0 ATS in its last five games.

The Oklahoma Sooners are 27.5-point road favorites against the Baylor Bears, with a 62.5 total. Oklahoma is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road. The total has gone over in 16 of Baylor’s last 22 games at home against teams with winning records.

The USC Trojans are 16.5-point road favorites against the California Golden Bears, with a 64 total. The total has gone under in 10 of Southern Cal’s last 13 games on the road against teams with winning records. California, which defeated Mississippi in Week 3, is 1-4 ATS in its last five games after winning as an underdog.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are four-point road favorites against the Michigan State Spartans, with a 54 total. Notre Dame is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road against teams with winning records. Michigan State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games in September

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are 14-point favorites against the TCU Horned Frogs, with a 71 total. TCU is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games against its conference. Oklahoma State, which is 3-0 SU so far this season, is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games after consecutive wins.

The Washington Huskies are 10.5-point road favorites against the Colorado Buffaloes, with a 50 total. Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games in September. Colorado is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games in Week 4.

The Stanford Cardinal are 7.5-point favorites against the UCLA Bruins, with a 57 total. UCLA is 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS in its last nine games against Stanford. Stanford, which is coming off of a loss against San Diego State, is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after losing as a favorite.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the new OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

UCLA, Duke, Kentucky leading latest odds to win NCAA Tournament

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Legacy programs such as the UCLA Bruins, Duke Blue Devils and Kentucky Wildcats drive interest in college basketball but don’t necessarily create value for futures-focused bettors.

Two months away from March Madness, UCLA, Duke and Kentucky are 1-2-3 on the 2017 NCAA Tournament champion futures board at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com at +500, +525 and +550, respectively, on those college basketball odds.

While the Bruins have not been the last team standing cutting down the nets in celebration since 1995, point guard Lonzo Ball and power forward T.J. Leaf have furnished the Pac-12 powerhouse with one of the most potent offenses in the league.

Duke’s odds are likely to slip soon after recent losses to Louisville and Florida State. One should keep in mind how much instability the Blue Devils are contending with – first injuries in the frontcourt to freshmen Marques Bolden, Harry Giles and Jayson Tatum and now the current absense of coach Mike Krzyzewski, who is  recuperating from facial surgery. Duke should still be a force by March.

Kentucky, meanwhile, is 15-2 straight-up and 11-6 against the spread behind the freshman guard combo of De’Aaron Fox and Malik Monk. The Wildcats have also been one of the best offensive teams in the country while playing a challenging first-half schedule.

The defending champion Villanova Wildcats, reigning runners-up North Carolina Tar Heels and Kansas Jayhawks are each listed at +1200. It’s been exactly 10 seasons since a team repeated and Villanova, with coach Jay Wright’s ability to temper the pace of games and seasoned holdovers such as SF Kris Jenkins and SG Josh Hart, could be tough in the tournament.

The top-ranked Baylor Bears are still well down the board at +1400, suggesting oddsmakers are dubious about their staying power. But coach Scott Drew preaches inside-the-opponent’s-shirt defense, and has taken a team as far as the Elite Eight (in 2010).

Baylor’s devotion to playing zone defense and physical presence with C Jo Lual-Acuil Jr. and PF Johnathan Motley could make them hard to prepare for in a single-elimination tournament, not unlike the Syracuse teams that have had surprise runs to the Final Four in recent history.

The Arizona Wildcats, at +4000, are also a darkhorse pick. Arizona – who would be the de facto home team at the Final Four if they get that far – is 16-2 SU and 9-8-1 ATS even though PG Parker Jackson-Cartwright has been limited by a high ankle sprain. Arizona also has freshmen catalysts aplenty who could break out in March, including smooth-shooting Finnish big man Lauri Markkanen. The Final Four takes place on April 1 and 3 in Glendale, Arizona.