Notre Dame field goal favorite against Miami despite poor November record

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November has been the cruelest month to bettors backing Notre Dame, while the opposite is true for those who put money on Miami.

The Fighting Irish and star running back Josh Adams are a three-point road favorite against the undefeated Miami Hurricanes with a 57.5-point total for Saturday, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

Notre Dame is 3-0 straight-up and against the spread in its last three matchups against Miami, but the OddsShark College Football Database shows it is also 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games in November. Moreover, Miami comes in on a 13-0 SU streak and has been an excellent finisher in the past two seasons, going 7-0 SU and ATS in its last seven games in November.

Elsewhere, the Washington Huskies are six-point road favorites against the Stanford Cardinal, with a 44 total in a Friday matchup. Washington is 2-7 SU in its last nine games against Stanford. Stanford, which is coming off a loss against Washington State, is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after losing as a favorite.

The Georgia Bulldogs are 2.5-point road favorites against the Auburn Tigers, with a 47.5 total. Georgia is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games against Auburn. Auburn is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games at home in November. The total has gone under in six of Auburn’s last eight games at home against teams with winning records.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 14-point road favorites against the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with a 51 total. Alabama is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games in November. The total has gone under in eight of Alabama’s last 10 games against Mississippi State. Mississippi State is 1-7 SU in its last eight games in Week 11.

The Oklahoma Sooners are 6.5-point favorites against the TCU Horned Frogs, with a 61.5 total. TCU is 3-1 ATS in its last four games against Oklahoma. Oklahoma, which defeated Oklahoma State last week, is 16-0 SU in its last 16 games after winning as an underdog.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are 6.5-point road favorites against the Iowa State Cyclones, with a 60.5 total. Oklahoma State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 road games against teams with winning records, and the total has gone over in eight of the Cowboys’ last nine games in November. Iowa State is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 home games.

The Clemson Tigers are 16-point favorites against the Florida State Seminoles, with a 46 total. Florida State is 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games against Clemson. Clemson is 12-0 SU in its last 12 home games against teams with losing records, but 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games in November.

The Ohio State Buckeyes are 16-point favorites against the Michigan State Spartans, with a 53.5 total. The visiting team is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games in this matchup. Ohio State, which lost against Iowa in Week 10, is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games after a loss. The total has gone over in Ohio State’s last six games.

The Wisconsin Badgers are 12-point favorites against the Iowa Hawkeyes, with a 46 total. Iowa is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games against its conference. Wisconsin is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in its last six home games after consecutive road games.

And the Penn State Nittany Lions are 31-point favorites against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights, with a 52.5 total. The total has gone over in six of Rutgers’s last seven road games against teams with winning records. Penn State is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games against its conference.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the new OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

Alabama the Betting Favorite against Georgia in CFP Championship Game

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It has been all or nothing when the Alabama Crimson Tide have a betting line as tight as the one Nick Saban’s team faces against the Georgia Bulldogs in the national title game.

Alabama is a four-point favorite against Georgia with a 45.5-point total in the College Football Playoff Championship Game matchup at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The all-SEC tilt takes place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on Monday.

The OddsShark College Football Database has turned up an odd pattern with Alabama: it is 4-4 straight-up and against the spread in its last eight games as a favorite of 5.5 or fewer points, alternating covers with outright defeats (the most recent instance was its loss against Auburn in November, for what that is worth). Georgia is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS over the last two seasons as an underdog of 5.5 or fewer points.

Going against Alabama means setting aside its 24-1 SU record in its last 25 games against SEC teams, as well as the 11-0 SU record of Saban-coached teams against opponents led by any of his former assistant coaches. Georgia, guided by Kirby Smart (a former Alabama defensive coordinator), won as an underdog against the Oklahoma Sooners in the Rose Bowl on Monday and it is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games after winning as an underdog.

Georgia, which is 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS, will be trying to beat Alabama at its own game, relying offensively on a lethal rushing game built around their Nick Chubb-Sony Michel rushing tandem and a defense led by OLB Roquan Smith.

The typical formula to beat Alabama begins and ends with transcendent quarterback play – think Clemson and Deshaun Watson in the 2016 championship, or college-level Johnny Manziel in 2012. Bulldogs QB Jake Fromm will be trying to be the first true freshman QB to win a national title since 1985 (Hurts nearly did so last season).

It seems like a tall order for a run-based offense to succeed against Alabama, which allows just 2.8 yards per rush (second-lowest nationally). But Georgia is much more efficient than Clemson.

Alabama, which is 12-1 SU and 6-7 ATS overall, got a major statement during the Sugar Bowl from its offensive line, which held up well against a vaunted Clemson defensive line, but Georgia’s defense grades out better statistically than Clemson’s. Hurts, who was turnover-free against Clemson, will need to show enough of a passing threat to keep Smith and fellow OLB Lorenzo Carter honest, rather than selling out to stop the run.

The Crimson Tide does have an ace in the hole – the hole perhaps being in the deep middle of the Georgia secondary – in that WR Calvin Ridley will be the most talented receiver on the field on Monday. Bulldogs FS J.R. Reed will have the critical task of containing Ridley.

Alabama’s running back combo of Damien Harris and Bo Scarbrough might not be as well-known as their Bulldogs counterparts. However, like Georgia, Alabama is in the top 10 nationally in overall rushing and yards per carry.

Alabama is only 1-4 ATS in its last five games in January. However, the smallest line in any of those games was 6.5 points.

The Crimson Tide are No. 1 in the nation in scoring defense, while the Bulldogs are No. 4 in fewest points allowed despite playing in the highest-scoring Rose Bowl (102 total). There are some pronounced over trends, though. The total has gone over in five of Georgia’s last seven games against its conference. The total has also gone over in five of Alabama’s last six games in January.

 

New Year’s Six Bowl Games: Betting Lines and Trends for Matchups

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Stars come and go, but if trends are any indication, Alabama and Clemson’s rubber match should have plenty of scoring and a down-to-the-wire finish.

The Alabama Crimson Tide, led by quarterback Jalen Hurts, are three-point betting favorites at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com against the Clemson Tigers in the Sugar Bowl  matchup that will cap off the New Year’s Six slate of bowl games on January 1.

Alabama nabbed the No. 4 seed in the College Football Playoff and a rematch with defending national champion Clemson at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans despite losing its regular-season finale against archrival Auburn. Alabama is 11-1 straight-up in its last 12 games after a loss. However, the Tide are a mere 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games after losing as a favorite.

Clemson is 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS as an underdog over the last four seasons. The total has gone over in Clemson’s last four games in January. The total has also gone over in five of Alabama’s last six games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.

In the first semifinal, the Georgia Bulldogs are 2.5-point favorites against the Oklahoma Sooners in the Rose Bowl matchup at Pasadena, California, on Monday. Georgia is 1-3 ATS in its last four games on a three-game SU win streak. Oklahoma is 5-1 ATS in its last six games. The total has gone under in five of Georgia’s last seven games against the Big 12. The total has gone under in seven of Oklahoma’s last eight games against the SEC.

The winning teams advance to the national championship game, which takes place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on January 8.

Also Monday, the Auburn Tigers are 9.5-point favorites against the UCF Golden Knights with a 67-point total in the Peach Bowl, a matchup that is also based in Atlanta. Auburn, whose title hopes were dashed with a loss against Georgia in early December, is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games after a loss. Central Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last five games as an underdog. The total has gone under in seven of Central Florida’s last eight games against the SEC.

The Wisconsin Badgers are a 4.5-point favorite against the Miami Hurricanes with a 45.5-point total in the Orange Bowl, which is Saturday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS in its last five games. Miami is 1-7 SU in its last eight games in December. The total has gone UNDER in nine of Miami’s last 10 games.

The Penn State Nittany Lions are a two-point favorite against the Washington Huskies with a 55-point total in the Fiesta Bowl, which is Saturday at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Penn State is 10-2 SU and 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games on a three game SU winning streak. Washington is 4-0 SU in its last four games against the Big Ten. The total has gone over in Washington’s last three games.

And the Ohio State Buckeyes are 7.5-point favorites against the USC Trojans with a 65-point total in the Cotton Bowl Classic, which is Friday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Ohio State is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games against the Pac-12. Southern Cal is 1-8 SU and ATS in its last nine games as an underdog. The total has gone over in both eight of Ohio State’s last 10 games and in five of USC’s last seven games.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the new OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.