Chelsea v. Man United match highlights EPL Week 11 betting slate

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Soccer’s twist on Super Sunday could shake up English Premier League futures, which are getting static.

Undefeated Manchester City (-500) remain a huge minus-money favorite to win the league at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Manchester United (+800), Tottenham Hotspur (+1200) and Chelsea (+1800) are the only teams with a realistic chance of chasing down City over the final three-quarters of the season.

Manchester City (-260) could end up in a goal-fest with Arsenal (+600, +395 draw) in their Sunday betting matchup, as the Gunners average nearly two goals per game. The over on the 2.5 seems like a good play, since Man City alone are averaging 3.5 goals in league games and have a fresh-legged Gabriel Jesus to draw in if forwards Raheem Sterling and Sergio Aguero need a break after playing in a Champions League game on Wednesday.

The showdown between Chelsea (+145) and Manchester United (+205, +210 draw) could degenerate into play-not-to-lose tactics, knowing how Man United manager Jose Mourinho tends to approach road games in league play. Five of the last six games in this matchup have had fewer than three goals, so the under on the 2.5 looks tempting.

Stoke City (+160) and Leicester City (+180, +225 draw) are only one point apart in the standings, but a big difference is Stoke has manager Mark Hughes on the hot seat and Leicester already hit F5 by bringing in Claude Puel. Incidentally, Puel’s teams have won or drawn five of their last six games against Stoke. Home side Stoke is second-to-last in goals allowed, so there’s a strong possibility of both teams scoring.

Woebegone West Ham United (+425) are on a three-loss streak in EPL play, but do offer huge value against Liverpool (-165, +310 draw), especially since the Reds have ruled out using midfielder Georginio Wijnaldum and could hold out forward Philippe Coutinho. Even taking West Ham for the tie at +310 offers a potentially big payoff.

The tightest three-way moneyline involves Huddersfield Town (+170) at home against West Bromwich Albion (+185, +195 draw). Huddersfield have shown they can stymie the bottom feeder and the only positive West Brom trend is that November was when they started to pick up the pace points-wise during the 2016-17 Premier League season.

Struggling Everton (+110) have only two wins in five home games and are on a seven-game winless streak in all competitions, so the moneyline value is with visiting Watford (+265, +225 draw) in their Sunday betting matchup. Watford are without captain Troy Deeney (violent conduct suspension), but play an attacking style and the average total in their games is 3.3. The over on the 2.5 total would seem to be attainable.

Man Utd Favored Over Chelsea in Highlight EPL Betting Clash

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Neither Manchester United nor Chelsea has been consistent lately but there is a strong home-team trend in their rivalry.

Manchester United is the +125 favorite with Chelsea coming back at +240, while the draw offers +220 and the total is 2.5 for this English Premier League matchup on Sunday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The home team is 5-1-0 (wins/draws/losses) in the last six games in this matchup.

Although it is in a minor tailspin, host Manchester United has the broader trend of having shut out 11 of its 14 home opponents. Winger Alexis Sanchez has also bolstered United’s attack.

The big question with Chelsea is the reliability of forward Alvaro Morata, who is mired in an eight-game goal drought and did not start during a Champions League match against Barcelona earlier this week. That makes it hard to take Chelsea for a road upset, but it is capable of earning a draw. This is a must-not-lose match for the two teams that are each vying for a top-four finish, which is why the sharps have the under priced at -135, expecting a close-to-the-vest contest.

Leicester City (-140) has striker Jamie Vardy on a four-match goal streak and winger Riyad Mahrez back in form going into its match against Stoke City (+400, draw +265), which has been porous defensively on the road. The over on the 2.5 total has great value at -115.

Last-place West Bromwich Albion (-110) carries the urgency factor at home against Huddersfield Town (+365, draw +215), since it is staring at relegation. The teams are second- and fourth-worst in scoring. Huddersfield might have a late spark from the Steve Mounie-Alex Pritchard combo and is very well-priced for the upset.

The week’s tightest three-way moneyline owes greatly to Burnley (+185) taking a winless skid spanning more than two months into its fixture against Southampton (+170, draw +195). However, Burnley and Chris Wood are facing a Southampton side that is somewhat depleted on the back line and the even 2.0 total offers the cushion of a push for bettors.

Brighton and Hove Albion (+105) hosts Swansea City (+295, draw +210) in a relegation battle. Brighton, which got goals in two consecutive games from winger Jose Izquierdo, cannot afford to drop points at home. Swansea City has not proven capable of scoring on the road, but five of its last six games have gone under 2.5 goals and center back Alfie Mawson is fit to play.

And Crystal Palace (+575) has a long list of injury absences that includes Wilfried Zaha as it hosts London rival Tottenham (-210, draw +345) in a Sunday betting matchup. The fact that five of the last fixtures have ended 1-0 accounts for the 2.5 total. Tottenham’s Harry Kane is more prolific away than at home, so the over should hit.

For more odds info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

 

Manchester City, PSG Champions League favorites entering Round of 16

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Manchester City is the slight favorite in Champions League futures, but Paris Saint-Germain can do the field a solid by bouncing two-time defending champion Real Madrid.

With the Round of 16 beginning next week, Manchester City and Kevin De Bruyne are a +350 favorite on the odds to win the Champions League, followed by Paris Saint-Germain at +400, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The next tier down includes Bayern Munich (+550), Barcelona (+600) and Real Madrid (+800) before a plunge to Manchester United (+1400), Liverpool (+1400), Juventus (+1800) and Tottenham Hotspur (+2200).

The tried-and-true sorting method of fading teams that are focused on winning league titles doesn’t apply. The top four teams on the board all lead by healthy margins. Juventus, running second in Italy’s Serie A, is the only high-on-the-board offering that fits this description.

The injury bug that Manchester City is fighting shouldn’t be a factor as it starts the knockout stage at FC Basel (+50000), the lowest team on the board, on Tuesday. The favorable draw buys Manchester City a little time as it embarks upon trying to be the first English team to make it to March extant in four competitions (EPL, Champions League, F.A. Cup and League Cup).

The matchup between Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid is more the calibre of a semifinal, but the timing might be in favour of the French club. Real Madrid, which hosts the first leg on Wednesday, has been in a funk and has conceded goals in seven of its last eight games – hardly a promising sign ahead of a game against a team with Neymar and Kylian Mbappe. In other words, one who thinks Paris Saint-Germain has the goods to be the first French team in 25 years to win the Champions League likely shouldn’t hesitate, since its price will probably be halved (and then some) if it advances.

Suffice to say, the guarantee that either the defending champs or a ballyhooed contender will be out should be a boon to the rest of the field.

Bayern Munich simply does not get enough of a push in the German Bundesliga to be a threat in Champions League, which it last won in 2013. Barcelona offers a great price that might owe to facing an EPL team, Chelsea, in the last-16 as well as lacking major signing Philippe Coutinho for this competition. However, with attacking midfielders Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez, they are dangerous. Barcelona will not have defender Gerald Pique in this round, however.

Manchester United (+1400), with its penchant for defense, is a credible darkhorse play since the Champions League format does lend itself to trying to wring out an ugly tie in road legs. Liverpool, who starts away at FC Porto (+10000), should advance but might be too offense-oriented to make a run at European supremacy. Tottenham and Harry Kane, who start away at Juventus, might not be deep enough to juggle top-flight European competition with a race for a top-four spot in the EPL.

The first legs of the Round of 16 take place over the next two weeks. The return legs are slated for March 6-7 and March 13-14.

For more odds info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.