Tottenham, Man United Highlight Week 10 EPL Betting Slate at Old Trafford

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While the value on Manchester City becomes ever-negligible, the big news with English Premier League champion futures is that Tottenham Hotspur are second on the board.

Undefeated and once-tied, Manchester City has come down to -550 to be the EPL’s outright champion at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Tottenham carries a +800 price as it stands level with Manchester United, now at +1200, as the Spurs ready to visit the Reds at Old Trafford in one of the feature matches of Week 10. Whoever wins will stay in contact with Man City.

Defending champion Chelsea, already nine points adrift of Manchester City, is listed at +2000.

Two major questions hang over the tilt between Manchester United (+115) and Tottenham Hotspur (+245, +220 for a draw). In response to last week’s loss to Huddersfield, Man United manager Jose Mourinho reportedly aired out his players during training, so their response will be interesting. Spurs striker extraordinaire Harry Kane (hamstring) might also be a match-day decision, especially with a Champions League game against Real Madrid looming.

With midfielder Moussa Dembélé back, Tottenham stands a great chance of attaining at least a tie.

Liverpool (-475), unlike Man United, is in no position to play without urgency or have a sense of false security against Huddersfield Town (+1200, +550 draw). The Reds have won 19 matches in a row against newly promoted teams, and Philippe Coutinho and cohorts might be able to cover a 2.0-goal line.

Watford (EVEN) has only one win and one draw in its last five fixtures against Stoke City (+265, +240 draw). Stoke has allowed a league-most 20 goals and key playmaker Xherdan Shaqiri might not play, so Watford could be due even though it is dealing with injuries.

Brighton and Hove Albion (+215), led by Pascal Gross, offers excellent value at home against Southampton (+140, +210 draw) in a Sunday matchup. Southhampton is struggling to turn a high possession rate into goals. The -125 on over 2.0 also offers value.

Leicester City (+110), now managed by Claude Puel, takes a four-match unbeaten streak (in all competitions) into a Sunday home game against Everton (+260, +230 draw), which will be guided by David Unsworth after sacking its manager. That shake-up contributes to the over on a 3.5 total being a smart play. There has not been a shutout in the teams’ last five games.

And Burnley (+190) hosts Newcastle United (+160, +210 draw) in the Monday betting matchup. With Chris Wood (hamstring) laid up and Sam Vokes drawing in at striker for Burnley, scoring might be at a premium. None of Burnley’s home matches at Turf Moor have had a total go higher than 2.0, which is the total for this one.

Man Utd Favored Over Chelsea in Highlight EPL Betting Clash

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Neither Manchester United nor Chelsea has been consistent lately but there is a strong home-team trend in their rivalry.

Manchester United is the +125 favorite with Chelsea coming back at +240, while the draw offers +220 and the total is 2.5 for this English Premier League matchup on Sunday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The home team is 5-1-0 (wins/draws/losses) in the last six games in this matchup.

Although it is in a minor tailspin, host Manchester United has the broader trend of having shut out 11 of its 14 home opponents. Winger Alexis Sanchez has also bolstered United’s attack.

The big question with Chelsea is the reliability of forward Alvaro Morata, who is mired in an eight-game goal drought and did not start during a Champions League match against Barcelona earlier this week. That makes it hard to take Chelsea for a road upset, but it is capable of earning a draw. This is a must-not-lose match for the two teams that are each vying for a top-four finish, which is why the sharps have the under priced at -135, expecting a close-to-the-vest contest.

Leicester City (-140) has striker Jamie Vardy on a four-match goal streak and winger Riyad Mahrez back in form going into its match against Stoke City (+400, draw +265), which has been porous defensively on the road. The over on the 2.5 total has great value at -115.

Last-place West Bromwich Albion (-110) carries the urgency factor at home against Huddersfield Town (+365, draw +215), since it is staring at relegation. The teams are second- and fourth-worst in scoring. Huddersfield might have a late spark from the Steve Mounie-Alex Pritchard combo and is very well-priced for the upset.

The week’s tightest three-way moneyline owes greatly to Burnley (+185) taking a winless skid spanning more than two months into its fixture against Southampton (+170, draw +195). However, Burnley and Chris Wood are facing a Southampton side that is somewhat depleted on the back line and the even 2.0 total offers the cushion of a push for bettors.

Brighton and Hove Albion (+105) hosts Swansea City (+295, draw +210) in a relegation battle. Brighton, which got goals in two consecutive games from winger Jose Izquierdo, cannot afford to drop points at home. Swansea City has not proven capable of scoring on the road, but five of its last six games have gone under 2.5 goals and center back Alfie Mawson is fit to play.

And Crystal Palace (+575) has a long list of injury absences that includes Wilfried Zaha as it hosts London rival Tottenham (-210, draw +345) in a Sunday betting matchup. The fact that five of the last fixtures have ended 1-0 accounts for the 2.5 total. Tottenham’s Harry Kane is more prolific away than at home, so the over should hit.

For more odds info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

 

Manchester City, PSG Champions League favorites entering Round of 16

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Manchester City is the slight favorite in Champions League futures, but Paris Saint-Germain can do the field a solid by bouncing two-time defending champion Real Madrid.

With the Round of 16 beginning next week, Manchester City and Kevin De Bruyne are a +350 favorite on the odds to win the Champions League, followed by Paris Saint-Germain at +400, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The next tier down includes Bayern Munich (+550), Barcelona (+600) and Real Madrid (+800) before a plunge to Manchester United (+1400), Liverpool (+1400), Juventus (+1800) and Tottenham Hotspur (+2200).

The tried-and-true sorting method of fading teams that are focused on winning league titles doesn’t apply. The top four teams on the board all lead by healthy margins. Juventus, running second in Italy’s Serie A, is the only high-on-the-board offering that fits this description.

The injury bug that Manchester City is fighting shouldn’t be a factor as it starts the knockout stage at FC Basel (+50000), the lowest team on the board, on Tuesday. The favorable draw buys Manchester City a little time as it embarks upon trying to be the first English team to make it to March extant in four competitions (EPL, Champions League, F.A. Cup and League Cup).

The matchup between Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid is more the calibre of a semifinal, but the timing might be in favour of the French club. Real Madrid, which hosts the first leg on Wednesday, has been in a funk and has conceded goals in seven of its last eight games – hardly a promising sign ahead of a game against a team with Neymar and Kylian Mbappe. In other words, one who thinks Paris Saint-Germain has the goods to be the first French team in 25 years to win the Champions League likely shouldn’t hesitate, since its price will probably be halved (and then some) if it advances.

Suffice to say, the guarantee that either the defending champs or a ballyhooed contender will be out should be a boon to the rest of the field.

Bayern Munich simply does not get enough of a push in the German Bundesliga to be a threat in Champions League, which it last won in 2013. Barcelona offers a great price that might owe to facing an EPL team, Chelsea, in the last-16 as well as lacking major signing Philippe Coutinho for this competition. However, with attacking midfielders Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez, they are dangerous. Barcelona will not have defender Gerald Pique in this round, however.

Manchester United (+1400), with its penchant for defense, is a credible darkhorse play since the Champions League format does lend itself to trying to wring out an ugly tie in road legs. Liverpool, who starts away at FC Porto (+10000), should advance but might be too offense-oriented to make a run at European supremacy. Tottenham and Harry Kane, who start away at Juventus, might not be deep enough to juggle top-flight European competition with a race for a top-four spot in the EPL.

The first legs of the Round of 16 take place over the next two weeks. The return legs are slated for March 6-7 and March 13-14.

For more odds info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.