Red River Rivalry on the board on college football Week 7 betting slate

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The Oklahoma Sooners tend to recover very well after a loss, but they have also had trouble recently earning covers against the rival Texas Longhorns.

The Sooners and quarterback Baker Mayfield are a 7.5-point betting favorite against the Longhorns with a 64.5-point total in their Week 7 matchup, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

Oklahoma comes into this edition of the Red River Rivalry at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas on a down note after a shock home loss last week against Iowa State. The Sooners are 24-2 straight-up in their last 26 games after a loss, but 0-4 against the spread in their last four games against Texas. The total has gone OVER in eight of Oklahoma’s last 11 games after losing as a favorite.

Texas, with QB Sam Ehlinger, is on a 4-0 ATS streak, which might override their longer-running trend of being 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after consecutive covers.

The Clemson Tigers are 22.5-point road favorites against the Syracuse Orange, with a 56 total in their Friday betting matchup. Clemson is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games against its conference. The total has gone under in 11 of Syracuse’s last 13 games.

The Washington State Cougars are 14-point road favorites against the California Golden Bears, with a 53.5 total in their Friday meeting. Washington State is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games against Cal. Cal is 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS in its last eight games against its conference.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 30-point favorites against the Arkansas Razorbacks, with a 55.5 total. The total has gone over in 19 of Arkansas’ last 24 road games against teams with winning records. Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its last five home games according to the OddsShark College Football Database.

The Georgia Bulldogs are 30-point favorites against the Missouri Tigers, with a 56.5 total. Missouri is 1-7 ATS in its last eight road games. Georgia is 5-0 SU and ATS in its last five games against its conference. The total has gone UNDER in seven of Georgia’s last nine games in Week 7.

The Miami Hurricanes are 5.5-point favorites against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, with a 53 total. Georgia Tech is 1-7 SU and ATS in its last eight games against Miami. Miami is 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS in its last nine games.

The Michigan Wolverines are seven-point favorites against the Indiana Hoosiers, with a 47.5 total. Michigan is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 road games after winning their most recent road game. Indiana is 0-6 SU in its last six games in Week 7.

The Ohio State Buckeyes are 24-point road favorites against the Nebraska Cornhuskers, with a 58 total. Ohio State is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games in Week 7. Nebraska is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games in October. The total has gone over in the past three games of this matchup.

The TCU Horned Frogs are six-point road favorites against the Kansas State Wildcats, with a 53 total. Texas Christian lost to Kansas State in 2016, but is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games after losing the previous game in a matchup. Kansas State is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 home games against teams with winning records.

And the USC Trojans are 13-point favorites against the Utah Utes, with a 53 total. Utah is 10-0 ATS in its last 10 road games against teams with winning records, as well as 8-1 SU and ATS in its last nine games in Week 7. Southern Cal is 0-4 ATS in its last four games.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the new OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

 

 

Alabama the Betting Favorite against Georgia in CFP Championship Game

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It has been all or nothing when the Alabama Crimson Tide have a betting line as tight as the one Nick Saban’s team faces against the Georgia Bulldogs in the national title game.

Alabama is a four-point favorite against Georgia with a 45.5-point total in the College Football Playoff Championship Game matchup at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The all-SEC tilt takes place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on Monday.

The OddsShark College Football Database has turned up an odd pattern with Alabama: it is 4-4 straight-up and against the spread in its last eight games as a favorite of 5.5 or fewer points, alternating covers with outright defeats (the most recent instance was its loss against Auburn in November, for what that is worth). Georgia is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS over the last two seasons as an underdog of 5.5 or fewer points.

Going against Alabama means setting aside its 24-1 SU record in its last 25 games against SEC teams, as well as the 11-0 SU record of Saban-coached teams against opponents led by any of his former assistant coaches. Georgia, guided by Kirby Smart (a former Alabama defensive coordinator), won as an underdog against the Oklahoma Sooners in the Rose Bowl on Monday and it is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games after winning as an underdog.

Georgia, which is 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS, will be trying to beat Alabama at its own game, relying offensively on a lethal rushing game built around their Nick Chubb-Sony Michel rushing tandem and a defense led by OLB Roquan Smith.

The typical formula to beat Alabama begins and ends with transcendent quarterback play – think Clemson and Deshaun Watson in the 2016 championship, or college-level Johnny Manziel in 2012. Bulldogs QB Jake Fromm will be trying to be the first true freshman QB to win a national title since 1985 (Hurts nearly did so last season).

It seems like a tall order for a run-based offense to succeed against Alabama, which allows just 2.8 yards per rush (second-lowest nationally). But Georgia is much more efficient than Clemson.

Alabama, which is 12-1 SU and 6-7 ATS overall, got a major statement during the Sugar Bowl from its offensive line, which held up well against a vaunted Clemson defensive line, but Georgia’s defense grades out better statistically than Clemson’s. Hurts, who was turnover-free against Clemson, will need to show enough of a passing threat to keep Smith and fellow OLB Lorenzo Carter honest, rather than selling out to stop the run.

The Crimson Tide does have an ace in the hole – the hole perhaps being in the deep middle of the Georgia secondary – in that WR Calvin Ridley will be the most talented receiver on the field on Monday. Bulldogs FS J.R. Reed will have the critical task of containing Ridley.

Alabama’s running back combo of Damien Harris and Bo Scarbrough might not be as well-known as their Bulldogs counterparts. However, like Georgia, Alabama is in the top 10 nationally in overall rushing and yards per carry.

Alabama is only 1-4 ATS in its last five games in January. However, the smallest line in any of those games was 6.5 points.

The Crimson Tide are No. 1 in the nation in scoring defense, while the Bulldogs are No. 4 in fewest points allowed despite playing in the highest-scoring Rose Bowl (102 total). There are some pronounced over trends, though. The total has gone over in five of Georgia’s last seven games against its conference. The total has also gone over in five of Alabama’s last six games in January.

 

New Year’s Six Bowl Games: Betting Lines and Trends for Matchups

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Stars come and go, but if trends are any indication, Alabama and Clemson’s rubber match should have plenty of scoring and a down-to-the-wire finish.

The Alabama Crimson Tide, led by quarterback Jalen Hurts, are three-point betting favorites at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com against the Clemson Tigers in the Sugar Bowl  matchup that will cap off the New Year’s Six slate of bowl games on January 1.

Alabama nabbed the No. 4 seed in the College Football Playoff and a rematch with defending national champion Clemson at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans despite losing its regular-season finale against archrival Auburn. Alabama is 11-1 straight-up in its last 12 games after a loss. However, the Tide are a mere 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games after losing as a favorite.

Clemson is 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS as an underdog over the last four seasons. The total has gone over in Clemson’s last four games in January. The total has also gone over in five of Alabama’s last six games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.

In the first semifinal, the Georgia Bulldogs are 2.5-point favorites against the Oklahoma Sooners in the Rose Bowl matchup at Pasadena, California, on Monday. Georgia is 1-3 ATS in its last four games on a three-game SU win streak. Oklahoma is 5-1 ATS in its last six games. The total has gone under in five of Georgia’s last seven games against the Big 12. The total has gone under in seven of Oklahoma’s last eight games against the SEC.

The winning teams advance to the national championship game, which takes place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on January 8.

Also Monday, the Auburn Tigers are 9.5-point favorites against the UCF Golden Knights with a 67-point total in the Peach Bowl, a matchup that is also based in Atlanta. Auburn, whose title hopes were dashed with a loss against Georgia in early December, is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games after a loss. Central Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last five games as an underdog. The total has gone under in seven of Central Florida’s last eight games against the SEC.

The Wisconsin Badgers are a 4.5-point favorite against the Miami Hurricanes with a 45.5-point total in the Orange Bowl, which is Saturday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS in its last five games. Miami is 1-7 SU in its last eight games in December. The total has gone UNDER in nine of Miami’s last 10 games.

The Penn State Nittany Lions are a two-point favorite against the Washington Huskies with a 55-point total in the Fiesta Bowl, which is Saturday at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Penn State is 10-2 SU and 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games on a three game SU winning streak. Washington is 4-0 SU in its last four games against the Big Ten. The total has gone over in Washington’s last three games.

And the Ohio State Buckeyes are 7.5-point favorites against the USC Trojans with a 65-point total in the Cotton Bowl Classic, which is Friday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Ohio State is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games against the Pac-12. Southern Cal is 1-8 SU and ATS in its last nine games as an underdog. The total has gone over in both eight of Ohio State’s last 10 games and in five of USC’s last seven games.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the new OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.