Favored Liverpool vs. Arsenal showdown highlight of Week 3 EPL betting board

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Heading into the final round of games before the transfer deadline and an international break, English Premier League futures are a two-horse race.

Manchester City retains top odds at +150 (slightly higher than a week ago) to be the EPL’s outright winner while Manchester United is a close second favorite after dropping to +200 (from +275) at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

From there the board spreads out to Chelsea at +550 and Tottenham Hotspur at +1000. Chelsea could be one of the big movers before the transfer deadline ends next week, as media reports suggest they might be able to pry versatile wing-back Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain away from Arsenal.

Speaking of the Gunners, Liverpool (+110) hosts Arsenal (+230, +255 for a draw on the three-way moneyline) on Sunday in what stands as the week’s feature match. The team’s last three league matches have all seen at least four goals, so the over at -105 is awfully tempting.

Struggling Bournemouth (+900) hosts Manchester City (-350, +450 draw) on Saturday. With Bournemouth yet to show much on the pitch this season, City (-115 at minus 1.5 goals) is capable of covering the goal line by winning by two or more on the road.

Newcastle United (+125) is having a slow start in its return to the top flight, which is why it is plus money at home West Ham United (+220, +230 draw). In a matchup of two teams that have been consistently inconsistent out of the gate, especially with defending, taking the over on a 2.5 total might be better than picking a winner.

Chelsea (-245) hosts Everton (+700, +340 draw) in one of Sunday’s feature matches. With Everton thinned out in the midfield with Ross Barkley (injury) and Morgan Schneiderlin (suspension) both out, that could leave more room for N’Golo Kante to force the issue and help Chelsea get the win.

Huddersfield Town (+275) will try to make it 3-for-3 as they host Southampton (+105, +230 for the draw). Teams are still getting the measure of Huddersfield, forward Elias Kachunga and the Terriers’ counter-pressing style, while Southampton is also adapting to a new manager in Mauricio Pellegrino. It makes sense to ride with the new guys while they’re winning.

 

 

Tottenham seeks away win against Arsenal as North London Derby underdog

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As the EPL comes out of the international break, it’s all about whether anything will happen to blunt Manchester City’s momentum.

The value with Manchester City on the EPL championship odds has completely evaporated, as they are a -700 favorite at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Man City, after 11  of 38 rounds in the league campaign, is eight points clear of both Tottenham Hotspur (+1400) and Manchester United (+1600), who share second place, while Chelsea (+1800) is nine points adrift of the leaders.

Matchweek 12 begins with the North London derby, as Arsenal (+135) might be a shaky three-way moneyline play against aforementioned Tottenham Hotspur (+185, +255 draw). The Spurs’ Harry Kane has six goals in as many games against Arsenal, and Tottenham has posted a result in five of six games against the Gunners, so taking the draw might be the wisest play. Kane is a must-play in goal scorer props.

Leicester City (+750) has likely been too leaky defensively (16 goals in 11 matches) to take them for an upset against a Manchester City (-325, +450 draw) side that will have Sergio Aguero and winger Leroy Sané in uniform. The over on the 3.5 total pays a healthy -110, and Manchester City is always worth considering on the goals line at minus-1.5.

Last-place Crystal Palace (+135) cannot score at home (four goals in five fixtures) and Everton (+220, +215 draw) cannot score on the road (two in five), but neither keeps it tidy around its goal. Two of Palace’s last three matches have had fewer than 2.5 goals, which is what the total is for a match that seems likely to end 1-0 or 1-1.

West Bromwich Albion (+500), which has the second-highest moneyline of any home team this week, will likely pack the goal tight against surging Chelsea (-175, +285 draw). Chelsea, which is on a three-win streak, is capable of bidding its time and ekeing out a win in a game that stays under the 3.5 total.

Watford (+105) is offering good value as it tries to pull out of a three-game losing streak, and West Ham United (+260, +240 draw) will likely need time to get used to new manager David Moyes. Watford, with young Brazilian winger Richarlison featuring in the attack, should be able to pull out of its nosedive.

Brighton & Hove Albion (+135) is far healthier than Stoke City (+225, +210 draw) ahead of a Monday matchup. Brighton will have something resembling a first-choice lineup to tee up striker Glenn Murray (three-game goal streak). With Stoke laid low by the news goalkeeper Jack Butland (finger) is out for more than a month, Brighton could cover the 2.0 total by itself.

Chelsea v. Man United match highlights EPL Week 11 betting slate

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Soccer’s twist on Super Sunday could shake up English Premier League futures, which are getting static.

Undefeated Manchester City (-500) remain a huge minus-money favorite to win the league at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Manchester United (+800), Tottenham Hotspur (+1200) and Chelsea (+1800) are the only teams with a realistic chance of chasing down City over the final three-quarters of the season.

Manchester City (-260) could end up in a goal-fest with Arsenal (+600, +395 draw) in their Sunday betting matchup, as the Gunners average nearly two goals per game. The over on the 2.5 seems like a good play, since Man City alone are averaging 3.5 goals in league games and have a fresh-legged Gabriel Jesus to draw in if forwards Raheem Sterling and Sergio Aguero need a break after playing in a Champions League game on Wednesday.

The showdown between Chelsea (+145) and Manchester United (+205, +210 draw) could degenerate into play-not-to-lose tactics, knowing how Man United manager Jose Mourinho tends to approach road games in league play. Five of the last six games in this matchup have had fewer than three goals, so the under on the 2.5 looks tempting.

Stoke City (+160) and Leicester City (+180, +225 draw) are only one point apart in the standings, but a big difference is Stoke has manager Mark Hughes on the hot seat and Leicester already hit F5 by bringing in Claude Puel. Incidentally, Puel’s teams have won or drawn five of their last six games against Stoke. Home side Stoke is second-to-last in goals allowed, so there’s a strong possibility of both teams scoring.

Woebegone West Ham United (+425) are on a three-loss streak in EPL play, but do offer huge value against Liverpool (-165, +310 draw), especially since the Reds have ruled out using midfielder Georginio Wijnaldum and could hold out forward Philippe Coutinho. Even taking West Ham for the tie at +310 offers a potentially big payoff.

The tightest three-way moneyline involves Huddersfield Town (+170) at home against West Bromwich Albion (+185, +195 draw). Huddersfield have shown they can stymie the bottom feeder and the only positive West Brom trend is that November was when they started to pick up the pace points-wise during the 2016-17 Premier League season.

Struggling Everton (+110) have only two wins in five home games and are on a seven-game winless streak in all competitions, so the moneyline value is with visiting Watford (+265, +225 draw) in their Sunday betting matchup. Watford are without captain Troy Deeney (violent conduct suspension), but play an attacking style and the average total in their games is 3.3. The over on the 2.5 total would seem to be attainable.