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NFL Week 12 Betting Lines Include Favored Patriots, Broncos, Seahawks

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Tom Brady and the New England Patriots have a revenge game against the New York Jets, although the history says a statement win might not be in the offing.

With the Jets going back to league interceptions leader Ryan Fitzpatrick, the Patriots are 8.5-point favorites on the NFL point spreads for Sunday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. New England lost its most recent meeting against the Jets on the road last December, but they are 16-2 straight-up after losing the previous game of a matchup.

However, they are 0-5-1 against the spread in their last six games against the Jets.

Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski (chest) is considered questionable, but TE Martellus Bennett is a great option and the Patriots are also re-integrating RB Dion Lewis into Brady’s arsenal of receivers. In nine starts against the Patriots, Fitzpatrick’s teams are 2-7 SU and the Harvard product has thrown 17 interceptions. However, most teams are able to enjoy some offensive production against New England, which lacks a quality pass rush.

The Atlanta Falcons are favored by four points against the Arizona Cardinals. Matt Ryan and the Falcons’ prolific offense will have to be patient against the Cardinals, who have allowed an NFL-low seven touchdown passes. Cardinals RB David Johnson will be beastly against the Falcons, but one should keep an eye on how Arizona delegates duties if head coach Bruce Arians (chest pains) is not on the sideline.

The Denver Broncos are the 3.5-point favorite against the Kansas City Chiefs in the Sunday Night Football matchup. The Broncos have regained CB Aqib Talib and DE Derek Wolfe, while the status of Kansas City’s shutdown CB Marcus Peters (hip) is up in the air. The Chiefs, who were upset by Tampa Bay in Week 11, are 1-4 ATS in their last five games after losing as the favorite.

The Seattle Seahawks are favored by five points against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Buccaneers are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games after winning as the underdog. Leading receiver Mike Evans will also have Seahawks CB Richard Sherman in his face. Tampa Bay is thin in defensive backs, so there should be some mismatches available to Seahawks QB Russell Wilson.

The Houston Texans host the San Diego Chargers in a pick’em. The Chargers, coming off a bye, could pose problems for the porous Texans run defense and QB Philip Rivers excels at beating the blitz. Houston is 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games, but erratic QB Brock Osweiler going against a pass defense with 11 interceptions (third in the NFL) might be a shaky proposition for bettors.

The week begins with three Thanksgiving Day games.

The Detroit Lions are the 2.5-point favorite against the Minnesota Vikings. Lions QB Matthew Stafford has a tough test against one of the NFL’s best pass defenses. The Vikings are 9-2 SU and ATS in their last 11 games as a underdog of 2.5 points or less.

The Dallas Cowboys are the 6.5-point favorite against the Washington Redskins. Washington is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games as an underdog of seven points or less and QB Kirk Cousins is facing a Cowboys pass defense which has a paltry four interceptions.

And the Pittsburgh Steelers are favored by three points on the road against the Indianapolis Colts. The matchup of 5-5 teams could be predicated on what crumbles first: Pittsburgh’s pass defense against Colts QB Andrew Luck or Indianapolis’ run defense against Steelers RB Le’Veon Bell.

WATCH: Seahawks’ Paul Richardson pulls in absurd touchdown catch against Lions

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It took until the first round of the playoffs, but we may finally have our winner for catch of the year.

On 4th and goal at the Lions’ 2, Russell Wilson lobbed up a pass to Paul Richardson, who was completely covered by Tavon Wilson.

Richardson stuck out his left hand and pulled in a miraculous grab to give Seattle the lead.

[Watch the rest of the second half from Seattle on NBC Sports Live]

Simply amazing.

 

Seahawks, Texans are the betting favorites for Saturday’s Wild Card games

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The Seattle Seahawks’ sporadic scoring output is something to consider when looking at the big point spread against the Detroit Lions. The Seahawks are listed as eight-point favorites against the Lions in their NFC wild card matchup set for Saturday at CenturyLink Field, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

The Seahawks are 7-0 straight-up in their last seven home games against teams from the Eastern Time Zone and the Lions are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven road games. However, Seattle scored 10 or fewer points four times at home this season, and none of those instances came against a premier defense.

The Lions, 9-7 SU and 8-8 ATS, are coming into the playoffs on a three-loss skid. One boon to the Lions’ chances is that the Seahawks, without free safety Earl Thomas, have been hopeless at stopping deep passes. Quarterback Matthew Stafford should be able to hit a few deep shots to the likes of Golden Tate, Marvin Jones and T.J. Jones in order to compensate for a nearly nonexistent running game. That could help the Lions, who are 0-8 SU in their last eight playoff games, make it interesting.

The Seahawks, 10-5-1 SU and 7-8-1 ATS, have never lost at home in the playoffs during the Pete Carroll/Russell Wilson era. One can reasonably expect they will find some of their familiar postseason form. Seattle’s pass protection and run blocking has been problematic, so there could be opportunities to disrupt Wilson’s timing. Otherwise, WR Doug Baldwin and TE Jimmy Graham could have big nights.

The total has gone under in eight of the Lions’ last 10 games. The total has gone over in five of the Seahawks’ last six games in the playoffs.

Elsewhere, the Houston Texans are listed as four-point favorites against the Oakland Raiders in Saturday’s AFC wild card matchup.

The Raiders, 12-4 SU and 10-6 ATS, will have rookie third-stringer Connor Cook become the first NFL QB to get his first career start in the playoffs. With Cook playing instead of Derek Carr (broken fibula), Houston might not have to honor the deep pass threat and can thus commit to containing RB Latavius Murray and limiting the damage on short-range passes to WR Amari Cooper and WR Michael Crabtree.

The fact erratic Brock Osweiler is back in at QB might account for why the Texans, who are 9-7 SU and 6-9-1 ATS, are not a bigger favorite against a hobbled team. The Raiders simply haven’t stopped anyone when teams have schemed to slow down edge rushers Khalil Mack and Bruce Irvin. If Osweiler can curb his tendency to be overaggressive and allow WR DeAndre Hopkins and RB Lamar Miller to have opportunities, the Texans should be able to move the ball steadily.

Keep in mind, though, that the visiting team has gone 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four editions of this matchup. The total has gone over in seven of the Raiders’ last 10 games.  The total has gone under in nine of the Texans’ last 12 games at home.