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NFL Week 12 Betting Lines Include Favored Patriots, Broncos, Seahawks

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Tom Brady and the New England Patriots have a revenge game against the New York Jets, although the history says a statement win might not be in the offing.

With the Jets going back to league interceptions leader Ryan Fitzpatrick, the Patriots are 8.5-point favorites on the NFL point spreads for Sunday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. New England lost its most recent meeting against the Jets on the road last December, but they are 16-2 straight-up after losing the previous game of a matchup.

However, they are 0-5-1 against the spread in their last six games against the Jets.

Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski (chest) is considered questionable, but TE Martellus Bennett is a great option and the Patriots are also re-integrating RB Dion Lewis into Brady’s arsenal of receivers. In nine starts against the Patriots, Fitzpatrick’s teams are 2-7 SU and the Harvard product has thrown 17 interceptions. However, most teams are able to enjoy some offensive production against New England, which lacks a quality pass rush.

The Atlanta Falcons are favored by four points against the Arizona Cardinals. Matt Ryan and the Falcons’ prolific offense will have to be patient against the Cardinals, who have allowed an NFL-low seven touchdown passes. Cardinals RB David Johnson will be beastly against the Falcons, but one should keep an eye on how Arizona delegates duties if head coach Bruce Arians (chest pains) is not on the sideline.

The Denver Broncos are the 3.5-point favorite against the Kansas City Chiefs in the Sunday Night Football matchup. The Broncos have regained CB Aqib Talib and DE Derek Wolfe, while the status of Kansas City’s shutdown CB Marcus Peters (hip) is up in the air. The Chiefs, who were upset by Tampa Bay in Week 11, are 1-4 ATS in their last five games after losing as the favorite.

The Seattle Seahawks are favored by five points against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Buccaneers are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games after winning as the underdog. Leading receiver Mike Evans will also have Seahawks CB Richard Sherman in his face. Tampa Bay is thin in defensive backs, so there should be some mismatches available to Seahawks QB Russell Wilson.

The Houston Texans host the San Diego Chargers in a pick’em. The Chargers, coming off a bye, could pose problems for the porous Texans run defense and QB Philip Rivers excels at beating the blitz. Houston is 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games, but erratic QB Brock Osweiler going against a pass defense with 11 interceptions (third in the NFL) might be a shaky proposition for bettors.

The week begins with three Thanksgiving Day games.

The Detroit Lions are the 2.5-point favorite against the Minnesota Vikings. Lions QB Matthew Stafford has a tough test against one of the NFL’s best pass defenses. The Vikings are 9-2 SU and ATS in their last 11 games as a underdog of 2.5 points or less.

The Dallas Cowboys are the 6.5-point favorite against the Washington Redskins. Washington is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games as an underdog of seven points or less and QB Kirk Cousins is facing a Cowboys pass defense which has a paltry four interceptions.

And the Pittsburgh Steelers are favored by three points on the road against the Indianapolis Colts. The matchup of 5-5 teams could be predicated on what crumbles first: Pittsburgh’s pass defense against Colts QB Andrew Luck or Indianapolis’ run defense against Steelers RB Le’Veon Bell.

Drew Brees, Le’Veon Bell Favorites in NFL Season Leader Props

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When it comes to betting props on NFL individual leaders, the tried-and-true works for picking a passing yards leader while rushing and receiving leaders are a little more random.

With training camps set to open in a matter of days, New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees is a +300 favorite to lead the NFL in passing yards at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Brees has led (or co-led) the NFL in aerial yards five times in the last six seasons, with the lone exception coming in 2013 when Peyton Manning complied a NFL-record 5,477.

Brees will still have Willie Snead and Michael Thomas as outlets for his passes and, assuming the Saints’ defense stays near the bottom of the league, will have the opportunity to get into a few offensive shootouts.

The Atlanta Falcons’ Matt Ryan (+400) and New England Patriots’ Tom Brady (+500) are the next two on the board. Ryan and the Falcons are likely to face a tougher schedule than what it turned out they had in 2016. Brady has only led the NFL in yards once, in 2007, and would be the oldest player to do so if he succeeds this season.

Based on 2016 won-loss records, the Indianapolis Colts and QB Andrew Luck (+1400) have the easiest schedule in the league, which could lead to Luck putting up some big numbers against softer competition. Another valid darkhorse play is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Jameis Winston (+1600), since he will have a 1-2 punch at receiver with Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson and a team that still relies on being pass-heavy.

The Pittsburgh Steelers’ Le’Veon Bell (+300) and Dallas Cowboys’ Ezekiel Elliott (+350) are tightly bunched atop the NFL rushing champion futures board. Bell will no doubt be among the leaders in yards from scrimmage per game, but he’s only played 16 games once in four seasons. While there hasn’t been a back-to-back rushing leader in 10 years, Elliott will be running behind an excellent Dallas offensive line.

The Los Angeles Rams’ third-year workhorse Todd Gurley (+2000) will be in a new offensive system and, hopefully for the Rams, will be better complemented by second-year QB Jared Goff in the passing phase. That would give Gurley a fairer shot at breaking big runs on the regular.

Pittsburgh’s Antonio Brown (+400) and Atlanta’s Julio Jones (+400) are co-favorites on the odds to tally the most receiving yards, with the New York Giants’ Odell Beckham (+500) also coming in highly touted. Brown had two fewer targets per game in 2016 than in ’15, meaning he might be a less high-volume receiver now that he is 29. Jones has a receiving title from 2015, but last season the Falcons were most efficient when they spread the ball around.

Last year, the Indianapolis Colts’ T.Y. Hilton (+1200 this year) led the league in yards after being listed at +3300 in the preseason. Among the potential 2017 replicants are New England’s Brandin Cooks (+3300), who is expected to be the field-stretching target the Patriots have managed to do without since the Randy Moss days a decade ago. The aforementioned Mike Evans (+1200) is also close to a sure thing to get 11-12 targets per game in Tampa Bay and the continued development of Winston could make him a 1,500-yard receiver.

The last 12 league leaders in receiving yardage have been less than 30 years old at the start of the season. That trend has been consistent dating to the mid-1990s, with 19 of the last 21 receiving leaders being players who were no older than 29 at the start of the season.

Internet reacts to O.J. Simpson’s parole hearing

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In case you weren’t aware, O.J. Simpson was granted parole and the internet went crazy.

Cue hilarious tweets.