LSU, Louisville, USC headline college football favorites in Week 12

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Six weeks and a coaching change later, the LSU Tigers are probably better equipped to take on the Florida Gators.

The Tigers are the 13.5-point favorite at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com against the banged-up Gators in a matchup that was rescheduled due to Hurricane Matthew. The visiting team is 1-4 straight-up and against the spread in the last five editions of this matchup, while LSU is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games in Week 12.

Since Ed Orgeron became interim coach after Les Miles’ termination, the Tigers are 4-1 SU. The Tigers suffered a shutout loss against No. 1 Alabama in their last home outing, but are 13-0 SU at Tiger Stadium after losing their previous home game.

The Gators are banged-up with OLB Alex Anzalone, MLB Jarrad Davis and S Marcus Maye sidelined, which might help LSU in a battle of attrition. Primary RB Leonard Fournette (ankle) has aggravated an injury, but Derrius Guice is a capable understudy.

In a Thursday game, Heisman Trophy favorite Lamar Jackson and the Louisville Cardinals are favored by 14.5 on the road against the Houston Cougars. Houston has a quick defensive front that stands a good chance at turning Jackson into a pocket passer. Cougars QB Greg Ward Jr. (shoulder) has been playing hurt recently, but with defensive leaders such as ILB Keith Kelsey and CB Jaire Alexander, Louisville should avoid a total collapse.

The Oklahoma Sooners are the 2.5-point road favorite against the West Virginia Mountaineers. Sooners QB Baker Mayfield is more consistent than WVU counterpart Skyler Howard, and has game-breaking WR Dede Westbrook to help extend a 14-game conference win streak. West Virginia and S Kyzir White have won – by Big 12 standards – some tight defensive battles, but doing that against the Sooners might be daunting.

The TCU Horned Frogs are favored by 4.5 points against the Oklahoma State Cowboys. The Frogs are coming off a bye week and QB Kenny Hill will be complemented by now healthy starters such as WR Deante Gray, G Patrick Morris and WR/KR KaVontae Turpin. Oklahoma State’s Mason Rudolph will also face a good TCU pass rush. The home team has won all of the teams’ meetings since the Frogs joined the Big 12 in 2012.

The Colorado Buffaloes are also favored by 4.5 against the Washington State Cougars in a showdown between the Pac-12’s unlikely divisional leaders. The visiting team is 5-1 ATS in the last six editions of the matchup. Colorado is in the top 10 in the country in scoring defense, but shutting down QB Luke Falk and the Cougars’ Air Raid attack for 60 minutes could be daunting.

And the USC Trojans are favored by 12 against the cross-town rival UCLA Bruins. The line might be inflated in USC’s favor since it is fresh off defeating Washington, but QB Sam Darnold is backed up by a reliable rushing attack and Bruins QB Mike Fafaul is not. The Trojans are  2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games after winning their most recent road game, but CB Adoree’ Jackson gives them greater capability of inducing game-changing turnovers.

Red River Rivalry on the board on college football Week 7 betting slate

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The Oklahoma Sooners tend to recover very well after a loss, but they have also had trouble recently earning covers against the rival Texas Longhorns.

The Sooners and quarterback Baker Mayfield are a 7.5-point betting favorite against the Longhorns with a 64.5-point total in their Week 7 matchup, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

Oklahoma comes into this edition of the Red River Rivalry at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas on a down note after a shock home loss last week against Iowa State. The Sooners are 24-2 straight-up in their last 26 games after a loss, but 0-4 against the spread in their last four games against Texas. The total has gone OVER in eight of Oklahoma’s last 11 games after losing as a favorite.

Texas, with QB Sam Ehlinger, is on a 4-0 ATS streak, which might override their longer-running trend of being 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after consecutive covers.

The Clemson Tigers are 22.5-point road favorites against the Syracuse Orange, with a 56 total in their Friday betting matchup. Clemson is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games against its conference. The total has gone under in 11 of Syracuse’s last 13 games.

The Washington State Cougars are 14-point road favorites against the California Golden Bears, with a 53.5 total in their Friday meeting. Washington State is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games against Cal. Cal is 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS in its last eight games against its conference.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 30-point favorites against the Arkansas Razorbacks, with a 55.5 total. The total has gone over in 19 of Arkansas’ last 24 road games against teams with winning records. Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its last five home games according to the OddsShark College Football Database.

The Georgia Bulldogs are 30-point favorites against the Missouri Tigers, with a 56.5 total. Missouri is 1-7 ATS in its last eight road games. Georgia is 5-0 SU and ATS in its last five games against its conference. The total has gone UNDER in seven of Georgia’s last nine games in Week 7.

The Miami Hurricanes are 5.5-point favorites against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, with a 53 total. Georgia Tech is 1-7 SU and ATS in its last eight games against Miami. Miami is 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS in its last nine games.

The Michigan Wolverines are seven-point favorites against the Indiana Hoosiers, with a 47.5 total. Michigan is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 road games after winning their most recent road game. Indiana is 0-6 SU in its last six games in Week 7.

The Ohio State Buckeyes are 24-point road favorites against the Nebraska Cornhuskers, with a 58 total. Ohio State is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games in Week 7. Nebraska is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games in October. The total has gone over in the past three games of this matchup.

The TCU Horned Frogs are six-point road favorites against the Kansas State Wildcats, with a 53 total. Texas Christian lost to Kansas State in 2016, but is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games after losing the previous game in a matchup. Kansas State is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 home games against teams with winning records.

And the USC Trojans are 13-point favorites against the Utah Utes, with a 53 total. Utah is 10-0 ATS in its last 10 road games against teams with winning records, as well as 8-1 SU and ATS in its last nine games in Week 7. Southern Cal is 0-4 ATS in its last four games.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the new OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

 

 

College Football Odds: Michigan favored over Michigan State

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The Michigan Wolverines take an unclear quarterback situation and a poor track record against the spread into their rivalry game against Michigan State this weekend.

Michigan is a 10-point betting favorite against the Michigan State Spartans with a 40-point total in their Week 6 college football matchup at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The head-to-head trend flatters the Spartans, who are 7-2 straight-up and 9-0 against the spread in their last nine games against Michigan.

The Wolverines, who got quarterback Wilton Speight (head/neck) banged up in their last outing two weeks ago and could be forced to turn to the less seasoned John O’Korn, do have some positive general trends. Michigan is 10-0 SU over its last 10 home games, as well as 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in its last six games in Week 6.

The Louisville Cardinals are 3.5-point road favorites against the North Carolina State Wolfpack, with a 66 total in their Thursday betting matchup. Louisville is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 road games against teams with winning records. North Carolina State is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 home games against teams with winning records.

The Wisconsin Badgers are 11.5-point road favorites against the Nebraska Cornhuskers, with a 45.5 total. Wisconsin is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games. Nebraska is 9-1 SU in its last 10 home games.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 26.5-point road favorites against the Texas A&M Aggies, with a 54 total. Alabama is 8-0 ATS in its last eight road games against teams with winning records. Texas A&M is 9-2 SU in its last 11 home games.

The Florida Gators are 2.5-point favorites against the LSU Tigers, with a 45.5 total. LSU is 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games against teams with winning records. Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last seven home games in October. The total has gone under in eight of Florida’s last 11 home games, according to the OddsShark College Football Database.

The Clemson Tigers are 21.5-point favorites against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, with a 47.5 total. Wake Forest is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight games against its conference. The total has gone under in nine of Clemson’s last 12 home games against teams with winning records.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 14-point road favorites against the North Carolina Tar Heels, with a 57.5 total. Notre Dame is 7-0 SU and 2-5 SU in its last seven road games as a favorite of at least 10 points. North Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games in October.

The Miami Hurricanes are three-point road favorites against the Florida State Seminoles, with a 46 total. Miami is 0-7 SU in its last seven games against Florida State, as well as 1-3 ATS in the past four. Florida State, who lost against N.C. State in its last outing at Doak Campbell Stadium, is 7-0 SU in its last seven home games after losing their most recent home game.

The TCU Horned Frogs are 13.5-point favorites against the West Virginia Mountaineers, with a 67 total. Texas Christian is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against its conference. West Virginia is 3-1 ATS in its last four games against TCU.

And the USC Trojans are 34-point favorites against the Oregon State Beavers, with a 58 total. Oregon State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games in Week 6. Southern Cal is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games against its conference.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the new OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.