Patriots, Packers home favorites for Week 6, Broncos are road chalk

Leave a comment

With Tom Brady back, the New England Patriots will try to get back to their winning ways at home against the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 6 of the NFL season.

The Patriots are listed as 8.5-point favorites against the Bengals, with a total of 47, at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. New England, minus Brady, lost to Buffalo in their previous outing at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots are 9-0 straight-up and 7-2 against the spread in their last nine home games after a loss at home.

The Green Bay Packers are four-point home favorites against the Dallas Cowboys. The total is 47. The Packers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in October. The Cowboys are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with winning records.

The Houston Texans are favored by three points against the Indianapolis Colts in the Sunday Night Football matchup. The total is 46. The Texans are 7-2 SU and ATS in their last nine games at home. The Colts are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games against the Texans.

No longer undefeated, the Denver Broncos are three-point road favorites against the San Diego Chargers. The total is 45.5 for their Thursday Night Football matchup. The Broncos are 14-2 SU in their last 16 games after a loss. The Chargers are 0-9 SU in their last nine games against teams with winning records.

The Philadelphia Eagles are favored by 2.5 points against the host Washington Redskins. The total is 45. The Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against the Redskins. The Redskins are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight games as an underdog.

The Oakland Raiders are one-point favorites against the Kansas City Chiefs. The total is 46.5. The Chiefs are 10-3 SU and ATS in their last 13 road games against the Raiders. Oakland is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 October home games according to the OddsShark NFL Database.

The Seattle Seahawks are favored by six points against the Atlanta Falcons. The total is 46. The Falcons, who just beat the Broncos, are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight games after winning as an underdog. The Seahawks are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 6.

Despite a three-game skid, the New York Giants are favored by three points against the Baltimore Ravens. The total is 43.5. The Giants are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games at home after consecutive ATS losses at home. The Ravens, who lost in Washington in Week 5, are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games after losing as a favorite.

And the Arizona Cardinals are favored by 7.5 points against the New York Jets in the Monday Night Football betting matchup. The total is 47. The Jets, who have lost twice in a row, are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games after an ATS loss, and with just one win on the season their postseason expectancy has plummetted from 31.8% to 4.2% since the start of the season according to website PredictionMachine.com.

Marcus Mariota can’t even explain his historic touchdown catch

Leave a comment

A touchdown pass to … yourself?!

That’s exactly what happened to Titans QB Marcus Mariota in Tennessee’s incredible 22-21 Wild Card victory over the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Chiefs were up 21-3 entering halftime and appeared to be well on their way to advancing to the divisional round of the NFL playoffs, but then Mariota made history with one of the craziest plays you’ll ever see:

With the six-yard touchdown, Mariota became the first player in NFL history to record a passing and receiving TD in a playoff game.

NFL Wild Card Weekend betting lines reflect recent favorites trend

Leave a comment

Wild Card Weekend has been ruled by favored teams recently – on the field, if not on the board. Favored teams are 10-2 straight-up in wild card games over the last three seasons. At the sportsbooks – and this seems germane with the home teams each laying at least six points this weekend – favorites are a more modest 7-4-1 against the spread.

The 2017 playoffs saw home teams go 4-0 SU and ATS in wild card games. Eighteen of the last 28 wild card games have gone under the posted total, with one push.

The Kansas City Chiefs are listed as 9-point favorites against the Tennessee Titans with a 44-point total at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com in a Saturday matchup. The Chiefs are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven playoff games as a favorite, but QB Alex Smith has had a stronger second half of the season than Marcus Mariota, his Titans counterpart.

Tennessee, which is 5-1 ATS in its last six games against the Chiefs, could be compromised offensively if DeMarco Murray (knee) is unable to play and spell off team rushing leader Derrick Henry. The total has gone over in five of the Titans’ last seven games against the Chiefs.

The Los Angeles Rams are 6.5-point betting favorites against the Atlanta Falcons with a 48.5-point total in the late Saturday matchup. The Rams and first-time playoff QB Jared Goff are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. However, Los Angeles, which lost its regular-season finale against the San Francisco 49ers, is 5-0 SU in its last five games after a loss.

Falcons QB Matt Ryan, whose team is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 night games, will not have his optimal offensive line in front of him as LG Andy Levitre (triceps) is out for the season. The Rams defense, led by DT Aaron Donald, has the third-highest tally of interceptions. The total has gone under in the Falcons’ last five games.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are nine-point betting favorites against the Buffalo Bills with a 39.5-point total in a Sunday matchup between teams that had a combined 26-year playoff drought (since 1999 for the Bills; 2007 for the Jags). The visiting team is 5-1 ATS in the last six games of this matchup, but Buffalo will likely only stand a chance if RB LeSean McCoy (ankle sprain) is healthy enough to play; there is no way he will be 100 percent.

The Jaguars, who are only 4-13 SU in their last 17 home games against teams with winning records, must hope QB Blake Bortles has some recent regression out of his system. The total has gone over in the Bills’ last five games against the Jaguars.

And the New Orleans Saints are listed as seven-point favorites against the Carolina Panthers with a 48-point total in a late Sunday betting matchup. The Panthers and QB Cam Newton are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six tries against the NFC South rival Saints and also boast the NFL’s 28th-ranked passing attack while the Saints are fifth through the air (each team’s pass defense is right in the middle of the rankings).

New Orleans and veteran QB Drew Brees are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against divisional opponents, as well as 5-0 SU in their last five home playoff games. The total has gone over in six of the Panthers’ last seven games against the Saints. The total has also gone over in five of the Saints’ last six games in the wild card round.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the new OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.