Patriots, Packers home favorites for Week 6, Broncos are road chalk

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With Tom Brady back, the New England Patriots will try to get back to their winning ways at home against the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 6 of the NFL season.

The Patriots are listed as 8.5-point favorites against the Bengals, with a total of 47, at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. New England, minus Brady, lost to Buffalo in their previous outing at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots are 9-0 straight-up and 7-2 against the spread in their last nine home games after a loss at home.

The Green Bay Packers are four-point home favorites against the Dallas Cowboys. The total is 47. The Packers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in October. The Cowboys are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with winning records.

The Houston Texans are favored by three points against the Indianapolis Colts in the Sunday Night Football matchup. The total is 46. The Texans are 7-2 SU and ATS in their last nine games at home. The Colts are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games against the Texans.

No longer undefeated, the Denver Broncos are three-point road favorites against the San Diego Chargers. The total is 45.5 for their Thursday Night Football matchup. The Broncos are 14-2 SU in their last 16 games after a loss. The Chargers are 0-9 SU in their last nine games against teams with winning records.

The Philadelphia Eagles are favored by 2.5 points against the host Washington Redskins. The total is 45. The Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against the Redskins. The Redskins are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight games as an underdog.

The Oakland Raiders are one-point favorites against the Kansas City Chiefs. The total is 46.5. The Chiefs are 10-3 SU and ATS in their last 13 road games against the Raiders. Oakland is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 October home games according to the OddsShark NFL Database.

The Seattle Seahawks are favored by six points against the Atlanta Falcons. The total is 46. The Falcons, who just beat the Broncos, are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight games after winning as an underdog. The Seahawks are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 6.

Despite a three-game skid, the New York Giants are favored by three points against the Baltimore Ravens. The total is 43.5. The Giants are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games at home after consecutive ATS losses at home. The Ravens, who lost in Washington in Week 5, are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games after losing as a favorite.

And the Arizona Cardinals are favored by 7.5 points against the New York Jets in the Monday Night Football betting matchup. The total is 47. The Jets, who have lost twice in a row, are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games after an ATS loss, and with just one win on the season their postseason expectancy has plummetted from 31.8% to 4.2% since the start of the season according to website PredictionMachine.com.

Drew Brees, Le’Veon Bell Favorites in NFL Season Leader Props

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When it comes to betting props on NFL individual leaders, the tried-and-true works for picking a passing yards leader while rushing and receiving leaders are a little more random.

With training camps set to open in a matter of days, New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees is a +300 favorite to lead the NFL in passing yards at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Brees has led (or co-led) the NFL in aerial yards five times in the last six seasons, with the lone exception coming in 2013 when Peyton Manning complied a NFL-record 5,477.

Brees will still have Willie Snead and Michael Thomas as outlets for his passes and, assuming the Saints’ defense stays near the bottom of the league, will have the opportunity to get into a few offensive shootouts.

The Atlanta Falcons’ Matt Ryan (+400) and New England Patriots’ Tom Brady (+500) are the next two on the board. Ryan and the Falcons are likely to face a tougher schedule than what it turned out they had in 2016. Brady has only led the NFL in yards once, in 2007, and would be the oldest player to do so if he succeeds this season.

Based on 2016 won-loss records, the Indianapolis Colts and QB Andrew Luck (+1400) have the easiest schedule in the league, which could lead to Luck putting up some big numbers against softer competition. Another valid darkhorse play is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Jameis Winston (+1600), since he will have a 1-2 punch at receiver with Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson and a team that still relies on being pass-heavy.

The Pittsburgh Steelers’ Le’Veon Bell (+300) and Dallas Cowboys’ Ezekiel Elliott (+350) are tightly bunched atop the NFL rushing champion futures board. Bell will no doubt be among the leaders in yards from scrimmage per game, but he’s only played 16 games once in four seasons. While there hasn’t been a back-to-back rushing leader in 10 years, Elliott will be running behind an excellent Dallas offensive line.

The Los Angeles Rams’ third-year workhorse Todd Gurley (+2000) will be in a new offensive system and, hopefully for the Rams, will be better complemented by second-year QB Jared Goff in the passing phase. That would give Gurley a fairer shot at breaking big runs on the regular.

Pittsburgh’s Antonio Brown (+400) and Atlanta’s Julio Jones (+400) are co-favorites on the odds to tally the most receiving yards, with the New York Giants’ Odell Beckham (+500) also coming in highly touted. Brown had two fewer targets per game in 2016 than in ’15, meaning he might be a less high-volume receiver now that he is 29. Jones has a receiving title from 2015, but last season the Falcons were most efficient when they spread the ball around.

Last year, the Indianapolis Colts’ T.Y. Hilton (+1200 this year) led the league in yards after being listed at +3300 in the preseason. Among the potential 2017 replicants are New England’s Brandin Cooks (+3300), who is expected to be the field-stretching target the Patriots have managed to do without since the Randy Moss days a decade ago. The aforementioned Mike Evans (+1200) is also close to a sure thing to get 11-12 targets per game in Tampa Bay and the continued development of Winston could make him a 1,500-yard receiver.

The last 12 league leaders in receiving yardage have been less than 30 years old at the start of the season. That trend has been consistent dating to the mid-1990s, with 19 of the last 21 receiving leaders being players who were no older than 29 at the start of the season.

Internet reacts to O.J. Simpson’s parole hearing

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In case you weren’t aware, O.J. Simpson was granted parole and the internet went crazy.

Cue hilarious tweets.