Packers Sit as Touchdown Favorites Against the Giants on Sunday Night

Leave a comment

Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers are up against the New York Giants, who are a tough out when they’re a big underdog, in the Sunday Night Football betting matchup. The Packers, despite their offensive inconsistency, are listed as seven-point favorites against the Giants at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

New York and QB Eli Manning are 15-5 against the spread in their last 20 games as an underdog of at least seven points, according to the OddsShark NFL Database. Green Bay is 13-1 straight up in its last 14 games in October, and is 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in its last nine home games against NFC East foes.

Green Bay, which was idle in Week 4, is 8-2 SU and 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 post-bye-week games. The break surely gifted the Packers with time to get SS Morgan Burnett (groin), OLB Clay Matthews and NT Letroy Guion (knee) healthy.

The Packers are healthier on offense but it is stunning to see future Hall of Famer Rodgers completing fewer than 60% of his passes. The Packers’ blocking against DE Jason Pierre-Paul and DE Olivier Vernon will have to be better.

In the passing game, Packers WR Jordan Nelson and WR Randall Cobb could be facing a secondary that is still depleted due to injuries. Two of the Giants’ best one-on-one defenders, CB Eli Apple (hamstring) and CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (groin), are iffy to play.

Eli Manning and the Giants are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three road games against NFC North teams. Manning is up against a Packers defense that is devastating against the run, but dismal – 29th in the 32-team NFL – against the pass. Green Bay has yet to find a replacement for elite CB Sam Shields (concussion). The trio of WRs Odell Beckham Jr., Victor Cruz and Sterling Shephard should be able to have some success.

The Giants’ middling running game, with RB Orleans Darkwa as the de facto starter, could be hard-pressed to keep Manning and Co. out of obvious passing downs. The onus will be on the aerial game, where Beckham will be out to avoid a third consecutive subpar performance. The acrobatic receiver had only 23 yards during the Giants’ Week 4 road defeat in Minnesota.

The visiting team has prevailed in seven of the past 10 games of this matchup. The total has gone over in four of the Giants’ last five games in Week 5. The total has gone under in six of the Packers’ last seven games. Sunday night’s total is at 48 points on the NFL betting lines.

Drew Brees, Le’Veon Bell Favorites in NFL Season Leader Props

Leave a comment

When it comes to betting props on NFL individual leaders, the tried-and-true works for picking a passing yards leader while rushing and receiving leaders are a little more random.

With training camps set to open in a matter of days, New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees is a +300 favorite to lead the NFL in passing yards at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Brees has led (or co-led) the NFL in aerial yards five times in the last six seasons, with the lone exception coming in 2013 when Peyton Manning complied a NFL-record 5,477.

Brees will still have Willie Snead and Michael Thomas as outlets for his passes and, assuming the Saints’ defense stays near the bottom of the league, will have the opportunity to get into a few offensive shootouts.

The Atlanta Falcons’ Matt Ryan (+400) and New England Patriots’ Tom Brady (+500) are the next two on the board. Ryan and the Falcons are likely to face a tougher schedule than what it turned out they had in 2016. Brady has only led the NFL in yards once, in 2007, and would be the oldest player to do so if he succeeds this season.

Based on 2016 won-loss records, the Indianapolis Colts and QB Andrew Luck (+1400) have the easiest schedule in the league, which could lead to Luck putting up some big numbers against softer competition. Another valid darkhorse play is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Jameis Winston (+1600), since he will have a 1-2 punch at receiver with Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson and a team that still relies on being pass-heavy.

The Pittsburgh Steelers’ Le’Veon Bell (+300) and Dallas Cowboys’ Ezekiel Elliott (+350) are tightly bunched atop the NFL rushing champion futures board. Bell will no doubt be among the leaders in yards from scrimmage per game, but he’s only played 16 games once in four seasons. While there hasn’t been a back-to-back rushing leader in 10 years, Elliott will be running behind an excellent Dallas offensive line.

The Los Angeles Rams’ third-year workhorse Todd Gurley (+2000) will be in a new offensive system and, hopefully for the Rams, will be better complemented by second-year QB Jared Goff in the passing phase. That would give Gurley a fairer shot at breaking big runs on the regular.

Pittsburgh’s Antonio Brown (+400) and Atlanta’s Julio Jones (+400) are co-favorites on the odds to tally the most receiving yards, with the New York Giants’ Odell Beckham (+500) also coming in highly touted. Brown had two fewer targets per game in 2016 than in ’15, meaning he might be a less high-volume receiver now that he is 29. Jones has a receiving title from 2015, but last season the Falcons were most efficient when they spread the ball around.

Last year, the Indianapolis Colts’ T.Y. Hilton (+1200 this year) led the league in yards after being listed at +3300 in the preseason. Among the potential 2017 replicants are New England’s Brandin Cooks (+3300), who is expected to be the field-stretching target the Patriots have managed to do without since the Randy Moss days a decade ago. The aforementioned Mike Evans (+1200) is also close to a sure thing to get 11-12 targets per game in Tampa Bay and the continued development of Winston could make him a 1,500-yard receiver.

The last 12 league leaders in receiving yardage have been less than 30 years old at the start of the season. That trend has been consistent dating to the mid-1990s, with 19 of the last 21 receiving leaders being players who were no older than 29 at the start of the season.

Internet reacts to O.J. Simpson’s parole hearing

Leave a comment

In case you weren’t aware, O.J. Simpson was granted parole and the internet went crazy.

Cue hilarious tweets.