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Day Far Ahead of the Field on Deutsche Bank Championship Odds Board

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Although he has never won the Deutsche Bank Championship, Jason Day rates top odds for this weekend’s second FedEx Cup playoff event since he has been a consistent top-20 finisher at TPC Boston over the years.

Day, who is coming off a fourth-place result at The Barclays, is listed at +650 to win the tournament at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The 28-year-old Day has placed in the top 20 six times in eight starts at TPC Boston, including 12th in 2015 when he shot less than 70 in all but one round.

The tournament starts Friday due to the Labor Day holiday. Dustin Johnson (+1000), Jordan Spieth (+1200), Rory McIlroy (+1200), Henrik Stenson (+1600), Rickie Fowler (+2000), Patrick Reed (+2200) and Adam Scott (+2200) are also pegged as contenders on the golf betting lines. Interestingly, from 2013 through 2015, only four players have had successive top-10 finishes at the first two playoff events.

Johnson has a PGA Tour-most 12 top-10 finishes, and that run might override his lack of success at TPC Boston. Spieth coming in with nearly double Day’s price makes the 23-year-old a tempting pick. The TPC Boston course offers plenty of potential for birdies, and a good putting week would give Spieth a strong chance.

Fowler is the defending Deutsche Bank champion and contended at The Barclays before a tough final round.

Winning The Barclays vaulted Reed into first in the FedEx Cup standings. Another point in Reed’s favor is a fourth-place finish at this event in 2015, although he was well back in the field during the two years prior. Scott has one of the best swings in the game and held his form throughout most of The Barclays, before a breakdown on Sunday led to him finishing fourth.

McIlroy has not had a Top-10 finish in more than three months, and needs to display some sign of a turnaround in order to be a wise play in tournament winner props. Stenson is battling a persistent right knee ailment, and ultimately wants to stay healthy for the Ryder Cup next month. That makes backing the Swedish star a touch-and-go proposition, at best.

Farther down the board, Billy Horschel (+5000) is in search of a strong result that will secure a place on the U.S. Ryder Cup team. Horschel, who won the FedEx Cup in 2014, has been 13th and fifth in his past two events, which could be a harbinger of him once again peaking at the right time. This is the second-to-last event before American captain Davis Love III will make his first three captain’s picks for the Ryder Cup.

Russell Knox (+8000) has quietly played his way to seventh in the FedEx Cup ranking, and was also in contention through 54 holes of the 2015 tournament before shooting a closing 75.

Jordan Spieth betting favorite heading into the TOUR Championship

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It is mathematically possible for Jordan Spieth to capture the FedExCup title – and the $10-million bonus – without winning the TOUR Championship. Perhaps that might be a prod to look beyond laying chalk for the PGA Tour playoffs’ finale.

Spieth, who’s first in the FedExCup standings, is listed as a +500 betting favorite to win the TOUR Championship, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

Like Spieth, four others in the 30-man field converging on the 7,385-yard par-70 layout at East Lake in Atlanta would win the FedExCup automatically by winning the tournament. That includes (in order of seeding, not price), Justin Thomas (+1100), Dustin Johnson (+750), Mark Leishman (+1800) and Jon Rahm (+1200).

Spieth’s average finish since June has been 7.7, so it’s a safe bet he’ll continue his strong play. But a situation could arise where, if none of the other top five seeds are in contention, he might focus on the Cup and not the tournament itself, which has a slightly smaller payout of $8.8 million.

Johnson has been outside the top 15 in his last two starts, so it might be best to fade him. Leishman (+1800) is coming in hot after his five-shot win in the BMW Championship, but do remember this will be just his second time in the event. If you’re basing your pick on recent performance, Rahm has three top-5 finishes in a row and is in the top 20 on tour in strokes gained: approach-the-green, which is a good quality on a long par-70 such as East Lake.

The highest price of any player outside of those top five seeds belongs to Rickie Fowler (+1000). He was 10th at this event in 2015, the last time he played in it, and he’s second on the entire Tour in strokes gained.

Likewise, Justin Rose (+1200) has two second-place finishes at the TOUR Championship in the last four years.

Incidentally, Hideki Matsuyama (+1800) is ninth in the approach-the-green stat, which might make him a wild card this weekend even though his results have been inauspicious of late. Another darkhorse play with an enticing price on the golf betting lines is Matt Kuchar, who has had three top-10 finishes in the last four tournaments and is very steady, a handy trait to have at a par-70 course.

Each of the past seven FedExCup champions has secured it by winning the TOUR Championship. The law of averages would indicate that streak might end sooner rather than later.

PGA Championship Odds: McIlroy, Fowler coming in hot for Quail Hollow

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The combo of a soggy course and a season-long trend of first-time winners could come into play at the PGA championship this week at Quail Hollow in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Two-time winner Rory McIlroy is the +700 favorite on the odds to win the PGA Championship at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Jordan Spieth (+800), who’s less than a month removed from his British Open victory, is a close second favorite, with WGC-Bridgestone Invitational winner Hideki Matsuyama (+1100), world No. 1 Dustin Johnson (+1200) and Rickie Fowler (+1600) also high on the board.

Quail Hollow is a fixture on the PGA Tour, hosting the Wells Fargo Championship each May. The course has had an aggressive renovation to get it “major ready.” Rain is also expected for all four days, which could create an advantage for long hitters who don’t need a huge roll from tee shots. A course also plays differently in the summer than it does in the spring.

Playing the chalk is justifiable. McIlroy has two Tour victories on this course and had a strong fifth at the Bridgestone last weekend at Firestone Country Club in Akron, Ohio. However the course renovations factor into scoring, he’s still been dominant at Quail Hollow. It’s probably reasonable to fade Spieth, given his wonky putting last weekend. It’s just tough to win two majors in a row.

Among the players with odds in the 10/1 to 20/1 range, Dustin Johnson has simply been too inconsistent to inspire much confidence. Fowler will be playing at the course where he got his first Tour victory and he’s playing well, as evidenced by successive 67s at the Bridgestone. He’s also third in the Tour’s total driving stat, which suggests his strengths are suited to Quail Hollow.

Similar things can be said about Matsuyama, who like Fowler is still in search of his first major championship. The 25-year-old Japanese standout won the Bridgestone in a showing that was a testament to his burgeoning talent, and he’s also 12th in driving accuracy.

If the weather is as wet as promised, it plays to the advantage of Brooks Koepka (+2500), the U.S. Open champion who is sixth in driving distance this season. Koepka’s top-10 finish at the British Open indicates that he is not some big-driving one-hit wonder.

The value pick might well be Daniel Berger (+5500), who has three top-five finishes and a win in his last six tournaments. Berger was also in the top 20 at the 2016 Wells Fargo tourney at Quail Hollow. Two-time major champion Zach Johnson (+6600) also has a high price that belies that he was runner-up at the Bridgestone last weekend.

Jimmy Walker, the defending champion, is listed at +10000, only slightly below the +12500 price he had at online gambling sites prior to his unexpected victory in 2016.

This will be the second-last PGA Championship held in August; starting in 2019, it will move to May and become the second major on the golf calendar.