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Hunt’s Odds Against Lesnar Drop Ahead of UFC 200 Main Event

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With Jon Jones booted from UFC 200 over a potential doping violation, Brock Lesnar’s comeback fight against Mark Hunt has become the main event on the card that is set for Las Vegas on Saturday.

Lesnar’s star power and return to the Octagon for his first match since 2011 offers a lot for the curiosity seeker, but it will be interesting to see how it plays out for bettors. Hunt is now a -175 betting favorite at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com after opening at -136.

While Hunt is the world’s No. 8-ranked heavyweight, his style falls in the range of the type of striker whom Lesnar often struggled against before leaving UFC to go back to wrestling for almost five years.

Lesnar’s odds have risen to +145 from +121. One read into that could be that oddsmakers are trying to ply bettors to make the higher-paying play, but at the same time Lesnar’s athleticism makes him a hard-to-resist underdog. Hunt will need to prove that he has upgraded his ground game from absolute liability to passable.

Whether Dana White makes good on his vow to find a suitable opponent to take Jones’ spot against Daniel Cormier, the card is still deep.

The odds for featured featherweights Jose Aldo and Frankie Edgar’s hotly anticipated UFC 200 rematch, which is for the UFC’s interim 145-pound belt, have flip-flopped all week. Edgar, who has won his last five fights, is the slight -120 favorite. Aldo, who won in the rivals’ first matchup, is listed at -110.

While Aldo is maintaining that Edgar hasn’t changed since that 2013 fight, Edgar’s recent body of work shows that he has made great strides as a striker.

Women’s bantamweight champion Miesha Tate is a big -260 betting favorite at the sportsbooks against challenger Amanda Nunes, who is a +200 underdog. Tate is a grinder with a strong track record of frustrating and fatiguing opponents, which should mean that Nunes’ chances of a technical knockout should be far and few between.

Cain Velasquez will be at a six-inch height disadvantage against Travis Browne in their heavyweight match. Velasquez is the -305 favorite, since he has proven himself to be as indefatigable as a 245-pound heavyweight can get in UFC.

Browne is listed at +245. At 6-foot-7 and 240 pounds, Browne is a potent striker. Of course, he needs to be on his feet to do that and Velasquez uses his wrestling skills to deny opponents that luxury.

Mayweather and McGregor end press tour with a bang in London

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Sometime before Floyd Mayweather Jr. stole Conor McGregor’s microphone and before McGregor walked behind Mayweather and pretended to spank him, it might have been hard to understand why all this was happening.

The four press conferences in four days. The insults and posturing. The clothes. Nobody seems to be talking about the 40-year boxing legend with increasingly public financial problems getting paid to fight an MMA star in his first-ever boxing match.

And that’s the whole point.

No matter what goes down on August 26, when Mayweather and McGregor finally put on boxing gloves and start punching each other, Friday’s press conference in London will live on in sports history.

Here are some of the best moments:

McGregor calls Mayweather’s body guards “Juice Head Turkeys”

McGregor has called out pretty much every member of Mayweather’s entourage this week, including his body guards. Earlier on the press tour, Mayweather ordered his security team to surround McGregor and some minor shoving ensued.

Apparently, the incident left a mark. McGregor had some choice words for those body guards on Friday and called them “juice head turkeys” from inside the ring.

Feel free to Google that expression, unless you’re offended by Thanksgiving arts and crafts or holiday recipes.

McGregor rubs Mayweather’s head

If McGregor were fighting, say, Adrian Beltre, this wouldn’t have gone down so smoothly.

But in one of the more revealing moments of the press conference, Mayweather  tried visibly not to laugh as McGregor rubbed his head and cracked some bald jokes. His best line might have been pointing out Mayweather’s fondness for wearing hats in public and asking him “What the [expletive] were you hiding under that thing?”

Mayweather does a chokehold in front of McGregor

McGregor’s most recent loss came against Nate Diaz in 2016, as the Irish fighter tapped out when Diaz put him in a rear naked choke-hold. Mayweather didn’t plan on letting McGregor forget that on Friday. Imitating the MMA move in front of his opponent, Mayweather even had his DJ cue up a few bars of Rich Gang’s 2013 single “Tapout.”

He then asked the decidedly pro-McGregor crowd why they decided to put their faith in “this quitter,” before asking them to get Nate Diaz on the phone.

“If you quit once, you quite twice,” Mayweather said. “If you quit twice, you quit three times. But on the fourth time, I’m going to knock you the [expletive] out.”

 

Valentina Shevchenko Favored Against Amanda Nunes in Five-Round UFC 2013 Matchup

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With a scheduled five-round bout this time around, Valentina Shevchenko is favored against woman’s bantamweight champion Amanda Nunes in the main event at UFC 213.

Shevchenko is a slight -125 betting favorite against -105 underdog Nunes at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com in their title matchup at UFC 213, which takes place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday. The match comes 16 months after their first matchup which Nunes won by unanimous decision in her only victory in the UFC that didn’t end early. That was a three-round fight.

The rematch is scheduled for five rounds, which would seem to work in favor of Shevchenko, who has the endurance to be methodical and play a long game while waiting for an opponent to over-commit to an attack. That might negate Nunes’ trademark aggressiveness.

By the same token, though, Nunes is rarely going to be priced at -105. Her backers can take heart in knowing she has made great strides with her technical game since that March 2016 showdown against Shevchenko.

Robert Whittaker (-135) is favored slightly against Yoel Romero (+105) on the UFC 213 betting lines as they vie for the interim strap in the middleweight division. Whittaker has by far the greater cardio of the two and his grappling is good enough to counter Romero, a former Olympic freestyle wrestler.

If Whittaker can survive the first two rounds – and he’s characterized the fight as a 25-minute war – he should be able to wear down Romero. If Romero is to win, it will likely be by using his ground-and-pound game to get an early submission.

By virtue of his win when they went head-to-head in 2011, Alistair Overeem (-130) is the favorite against No. 1 heavyweight contender Fabricio Werdum (even).

Overeem, at age 37, is a deadly striker who has become craftier about picking his spots over his long career. His losses over the years have usually come by knockout, which is something that the jiu-jitsu specialist Werdum hasn’t been able to achieve in recent years. Overeem’s powerful kicking might help him with keeping Werdum at bay.

Anthony Pettis (-240) is favored against Jim Miller (+190) in the former champion’s return to the lightweight class. Pettis should have more energy than he typically did when he was cutting mass as a featherweight, which could aid him with using his kicks to create an opening for a submission.

Miller is a grinder, though, and is certainly capable of trading strikes and getting the match to the mat. On the whole, one should not overlook that this is a fight Pettis wanted to re-establish himself.

And the only true mismatch on the UFC 213 odds on the main card is the heavyweight bout between emerging force Curtis Blaydes (-750) and Daniel Omielanczuk (+475). The price on the latter fighter is tempting if taken in a vacuum, but when it comes to the Octagon, Blaydes has a reach advantage in the striking phase and is also a one-time U.S. national junior college champion, whereas grappling is Omielanczuk’s weakness.