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Goff Clear Betting Favorite Over Wentz on NFL Draft Odds

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California Golden Bears pivot Jared Goff is listed as a heavy -850 betting favorite to be taken by the Los Angeles Rams with the first pick of the 2016 NFL Draft at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

The Rams made headlines earlier this month when they shipped a bevy of picks, including their first-round selections in both 2016 and 2017, to the Tennessee Titans in exchange for the top pick in Thursday night’s NFL Draft at Chicago’s Auditorium Theatre.

Goff threw for 4,719 yards and 43 touchdowns in his junior year last season, leading the Golden Bears to an 8-5 record. Goff twice took home Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Week honors and was named 2015 Armed Forces Bowl MVP after leading his team to a 55-36 win over Air Force for their first bowl game victory in seven years.

Carson Wentz, a 6’5″ senior who led the North Dakota State Bison to the FCS national championship last season, follows Goff with +500 odds to be the first overall pick, while the odds of any other player going first overall sit at a longshot +5000.

Wentz missed considerable time last season after suffering a broken wrist, returning in time for the national championship game, and is an expected target of the Philadelphia Eagles, who moved up to the second pick in the NFL Draft in a trade with the Cleveland Browns.

With Wentz and Goff leading the way on the NFL Draft odds this week, the betting line on the total number of quarterbacks taken in the first round is set at 2.5, with the OVER a heavy -1200 favorite while the UNDER pays out at +650.

Ohio State Buckeyes rusher Ezekiel Elliott and 2015 Heisman Trophy winner Derrick Henry are viewed by most observers as the top two running backs available in this year’s NFL Draft.

However, oddsmakers do not expect both Elliott and Henry to be selected in the first round of the draft, setting the total number of running backs picked in the first round at 1.5, with the UNDER at solid -350 odds while the OVER is a +260 bet.

Laquon Treadwell of Ole Miss, the Baylor Bears’ Corey Coleman, and Buckeyes wideout Michael Thomas then lead a strong class of wide receivers at this year’s NFL Draft.

The line on the total number of wide receivers selected in the first round of the draft is set at 3.5 at the sportsbooks, with a wager on the OVER paying at +110 odds; the UNDER is set as the -140 favorite on the prop.

Marcus Mariota can’t even explain his historic touchdown catch

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A touchdown pass to … yourself?!

That’s exactly what happened to Titans QB Marcus Mariota in Tennessee’s incredible 22-21 Wild Card victory over the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Chiefs were up 21-3 entering halftime and appeared to be well on their way to advancing to the divisional round of the NFL playoffs, but then Mariota made history with one of the craziest plays you’ll ever see:

With the six-yard touchdown, Mariota became the first player in NFL history to record a passing and receiving TD in a playoff game.

NFL Wild Card Weekend betting lines reflect recent favorites trend

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Wild Card Weekend has been ruled by favored teams recently – on the field, if not on the board. Favored teams are 10-2 straight-up in wild card games over the last three seasons. At the sportsbooks – and this seems germane with the home teams each laying at least six points this weekend – favorites are a more modest 7-4-1 against the spread.

The 2017 playoffs saw home teams go 4-0 SU and ATS in wild card games. Eighteen of the last 28 wild card games have gone under the posted total, with one push.

The Kansas City Chiefs are listed as 9-point favorites against the Tennessee Titans with a 44-point total at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com in a Saturday matchup. The Chiefs are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven playoff games as a favorite, but QB Alex Smith has had a stronger second half of the season than Marcus Mariota, his Titans counterpart.

Tennessee, which is 5-1 ATS in its last six games against the Chiefs, could be compromised offensively if DeMarco Murray (knee) is unable to play and spell off team rushing leader Derrick Henry. The total has gone over in five of the Titans’ last seven games against the Chiefs.

The Los Angeles Rams are 6.5-point betting favorites against the Atlanta Falcons with a 48.5-point total in the late Saturday matchup. The Rams and first-time playoff QB Jared Goff are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. However, Los Angeles, which lost its regular-season finale against the San Francisco 49ers, is 5-0 SU in its last five games after a loss.

Falcons QB Matt Ryan, whose team is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 night games, will not have his optimal offensive line in front of him as LG Andy Levitre (triceps) is out for the season. The Rams defense, led by DT Aaron Donald, has the third-highest tally of interceptions. The total has gone under in the Falcons’ last five games.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are nine-point betting favorites against the Buffalo Bills with a 39.5-point total in a Sunday matchup between teams that had a combined 26-year playoff drought (since 1999 for the Bills; 2007 for the Jags). The visiting team is 5-1 ATS in the last six games of this matchup, but Buffalo will likely only stand a chance if RB LeSean McCoy (ankle sprain) is healthy enough to play; there is no way he will be 100 percent.

The Jaguars, who are only 4-13 SU in their last 17 home games against teams with winning records, must hope QB Blake Bortles has some recent regression out of his system. The total has gone over in the Bills’ last five games against the Jaguars.

And the New Orleans Saints are listed as seven-point favorites against the Carolina Panthers with a 48-point total in a late Sunday betting matchup. The Panthers and QB Cam Newton are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six tries against the NFC South rival Saints and also boast the NFL’s 28th-ranked passing attack while the Saints are fifth through the air (each team’s pass defense is right in the middle of the rankings).

New Orleans and veteran QB Drew Brees are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against divisional opponents, as well as 5-0 SU in their last five home playoff games. The total has gone over in six of the Panthers’ last seven games against the Saints. The total has also gone over in five of the Saints’ last six games in the wild card round.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the new OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.